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Coupe de France
Referee: B Dechepy
Bordeaux
S T S S S
1–4
Full-time
Rennes
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%
11 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
5 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bastia 3 3 0 0 +11 9
2 Le Puy Foot 3 3 0 0 +10 9
3 Bourgoin-Jallieu 3 3 0 0 +10 9
4 Lorient 3 3 0 0 +10 9
5 Cannes 3 3 0 0 +7 9
6 Thaon 3 3 0 0 +7 9
7 Troyes 3 3 0 0 +6 9
8 Dives-Cabourg 3 2 1 0 +7 7
9 Annecy 3 2 1 0 +6 7
10 Dijon 3 2 1 0 +4 7
11 Haguenau 3 2 1 0 +4 7
12 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 3 2 1 0 +4 7
13 Stade Briochin 3 2 1 0 +4 7
14 Hauts Lyonnais 3 2 1 0 +3 7
15 Caen 2 2 0 0 +10 6
16 Guingamp 2 2 0 0 +8 6
17 Feignies-Aulnoye 3 2 0 1 +5 6
18 Le Mans 2 2 0 0 +5 6
19 Union Saint-Jean 2 2 0 0 +5 6
20 Thionville Lusitanos 2 2 0 0 +5 6
21 Martigues 3 2 0 1 +4 6
22 Clermont 2 2 0 0 +4 6
23 Sochaux 2 2 0 0 +4 6
24 ASS Still Mutzig 2 2 0 0 +4 6
25 Bordeaux 2 2 0 0 +4 6
26 Valenciennes 2 2 0 0 +3 6
27 Boulogne 3 2 0 1 +2 6
28 Metz 3 2 0 1 +1 6
29 Drancy 3 2 0 1 +0 6
30 RC Calais 3 2 0 1 +0 6
31 RC Saint Joseph 3 2 0 1 -2 6
32 SA Mérignac 3 1 2 0 +6 5
33 Corte 3 1 2 0 +2 5
34 Red Star 2 1 1 0 +6 4
35 La Roche VF 3 1 1 1 +5 4
36 Bobigny 2 1 1 0 +4 4
37 Jura Sud Foot 2 1 1 0 +4 4
38 Grenoble 3 1 1 1 +3 4
39 Marmande 2 1 1 0 +3 4
40 Orleans 2 1 1 0 +3 4
41 Colmar 2 1 1 0 +3 4
42 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2 1 1 0 +3 4
43 Amiens 3 1 1 1 +2 4
44 Concarneau 2 1 1 0 +2 4
45 Pau FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
46 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +2 4
47 Saint-Denis 3 1 1 1 +1 4
48 Quevilly Rouen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
49 Beaumont Saint-Cyr 2 1 1 0 +1 4
50 Rumilly Vallières 2 1 1 0 +1 4
51 Saint-Malo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
52 Chasselay MDA 3 1 1 1 +0 4
53 Tours 3 1 1 1 +0 4
54 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +4 3
55 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
56 Mâcon 2 1 0 1 +2 3
57 Aubervilliers 2 1 0 1 +2 3
58 Rouen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
59 Versailles 2 1 0 1 +1 3
60 Aigles d'Or de Mana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
61 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
62 Lille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
63 Brest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
64 Neuilly sur Marne 2 1 0 1 +0 3
65 Nancy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
66 Istres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
67 Angoulême 2 1 0 1 +0 3
68 Laval 3 0 3 0 +0 3
69 Gallia Lucciana 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 Cluses-Scionzier 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Carnoux 2 1 0 1 +0 3
72 Beauvais 2 1 0 1 -1 3
73 La Roche sur Yon 2 1 0 1 -1 3
74 Calais Beau-Marais 2 1 0 1 -1 3
75 Les Herbiers 2 1 0 1 -1 3
76 Chambéry 2 1 0 1 -1 3
77 Ginglin Cesson 2 1 0 1 -1 3
78 Valence FC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
79 Olympique d'Alès 2 1 0 1 -2 3
80 Saint-Colomban Locminé 2 1 0 1 -2 3
81 Olympique de Valence 2 1 0 1 -2 3
82 Couzeix-Chaptelat 2 1 0 1 -2 3
83 Monnaie 2 1 0 1 -3 3
84 Bolbec 2 1 0 1 -5 3
85 Vierzon FC 2 0 2 0 +0 2
86 USSA Vertou 2 0 2 0 +0 2
87 Hettange-Grande 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Colomiers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 TA Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Villefranche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Romorantin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Biesheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Saint-Omer 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Nice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Saint-Pierre Milizac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Montagnarde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Saint-Lô Manche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Porto Portugais Amiens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Brétigny Foot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Stade Béthunois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Étoile Maritime 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Crépy-en-Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Raon l'Etape 2 0 1 1 -1 1
110 Le Touquet 2 0 1 1 -1 1
111 Liancourt Clermont 2 0 1 1 -1 1
112 Diables Noirs 2 0 1 1 -2 1
113 Dinan Léhon 2 0 1 1 -3 1
114 Cesson 2 0 1 1 -3 1
115 Noyelles sous Lens 2 0 1 1 -3 1
116 Lunéville 2 0 1 1 -4 1
117 Agde 2 0 1 1 -4 1
118 Dragon 2 0 1 1 -5 1
119 Roubaix 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Pays de Cassel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Vannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Saint-Cyr Collonges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Samaritaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Vendée Fontenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Saint-Brieuc 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Maladrerie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Marboz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Blenod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Marignane 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Arles 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Illkirch Graffenstaden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Sauveteurs Brivois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Lempdes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Stade Beaucairois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Epinal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Grandvillars 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Sablé 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Gueugnon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Canet Roussillon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Foron 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 AC Paris 15 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Anduzien 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Fief-Gesté 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Alençon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Ruffiac Malestroit 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Arras 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 Comtal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Grau-du-Roi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Bressuire 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Etoile Matoury 2 0 0 2 -3 0
164 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Jeunesse Evolution 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Niort 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Paimpol 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Thouars 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 FCSR Obernai 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Feytiat 1 0 0 1 -3 0
172 Nousseviller 1 0 0 1 -3 0
173 Boulay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
174 Avenir Mourenxois 1 0 0 1 -3 0
175 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 C' Chartres 1 0 0 1 -4 0
177 Freyming 1 0 0 1 -4 0
178 Cannet Rocheville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
179 Guéreins Genouilleux 1 0 0 1 -4 0
180 St-Just St-Rambert 1 0 0 1 -4 0
181 Valdahon Vercel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
182 ETC Anstaing Chéreng 1 0 0 1 -4 0
183 Labourse 1 0 0 1 -4 0
184 Montferrand 1 0 0 1 -4 0
185 Vesoul 1 0 0 1 -5 0
186 Serquigny Nassandres 1 0 0 1 -5 0
187 Raismes 1 0 0 1 -5 0
188 Allobroges Asafia 1 0 0 1 -5 0
189 Haubourdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0
190 St-Philbert Réorthe JA 1 0 0 1 -6 0
191 Olympique Cazaux 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.