Coupe de France
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Thionville Lusitanos
Valenciennes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bastia
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 9 |
| 2 |
Le Puy Foot
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 3 |
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 4 |
Lorient
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 5 |
Cannes
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |
Thaon
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 |
| 7 |
Troyes
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 8 |
Dives-Cabourg
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 |
| 9 |
Annecy
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| 10 |
Dijon
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 11 |
Haguenau
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 12 |
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 13 |
Stade Briochin
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 14 |
Hauts Lyonnais
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Dunkerque
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |
Caen
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 6 |
| 17 |
Guingamp
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 6 |
| 18 |
Feignies-Aulnoye
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 19 |
Le Mans
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 20 |
Thionville Lusitanos
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 21 |
Martigues
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |
Clermont
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 23 |
Sochaux
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 24 |
Valenciennes
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 25 |
Boulogne
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 26 |
Union Saint-Jean
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 27 |
ASS Still Mutzig
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 28 |
Bordeaux
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 29 |
Metz
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 30 |
Drancy
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 31 |
RC Calais
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 32 |
RC Saint Joseph
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 33 |
SA Mérignac
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 5 |
| 34 |
Corte
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 35 |
Red Star
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 4 |
| 36 |
La Roche VF
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 |
| 37 |
Bobigny
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| 38 |
Jura Sud Foot
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| 39 |
Grenoble
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 40 |
Marmande
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 41 |
Orleans
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 42 |
Colmar
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 43 |
St-Philbert Gd Lieu
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 44 |
Amiens
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 45 |
Concarneau
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 46 |
Pau FC
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 47 |
Saint-Denis
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 48 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 49 |
Beaumont Saint-Cyr
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 50 |
Rumilly Vallières
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 51 |
Saint-Malo
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 52 |
Chasselay MDA
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 |
| 53 |
Tours
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 |
| 54 |
Marseille
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 55 |
Nantes
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 56 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 57 |
Monaco
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 58 |
Strasbourg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 59 |
Mâcon
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 60 |
Aubervilliers
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 61 |
Rouen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 62 |
Reims
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 63 |
Versailles
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 64 |
Aigles d'Or de Mana
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 65 |
Lyon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 66 |
Lille
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 67 |
Brest
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 68 |
Neuilly sur Marne
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 69 |
Nancy
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 70 |
Istres
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 71 |
Angoulême
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 72 |
Laval
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +0 | 3 |
| 73 |
Gallia Lucciana
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 74 |
Cluses-Scionzier
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 75 |
Carnoux
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 76 |
Beauvais
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 77 |
La Roche sur Yon
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 78 |
Calais Beau-Marais
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 79 |
Les Herbiers
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 80 |
Chambéry
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 81 |
Ginglin Cesson
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 82 |
Valence FC
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 83 |
Olympique d'Alès
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 84 |
Saint-Colomban Locminé
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 85 |
Olympique de Valence
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 86 |
Couzeix-Chaptelat
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 87 |
Monnaie
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 88 |
Bolbec
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 3 |
| 89 |
Vierzon FC
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 90 |
USSA Vertou
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 91 |
Hettange-Grande
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 92 |
Colomiers
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 93 |
Avranches
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 94 |
TA Rennes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 95 |
Paris FC
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 96 |
Villefranche
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 97 |
Fleury 91
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 98 |
Romorantin
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 99 |
Biesheim
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 100 |
Saint-Omer
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 101 |
Nice
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 102 |
Linas-Montlhery
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 103 |
Saint-Pierre Milizac
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 104 |
Montagnarde
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 105 |
Saint-Lô Manche
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 106 |
Porto Portugais Amiens
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 107 |
Brétigny Foot
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 108 |
Vitré
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 109 |
Stade Béthunois
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 110 |
Toulouse
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 111 |
Étoile Maritime
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 112 |
Crépy-en-Valois
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 113 |
Raon l'Etape
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 114 |
Le Touquet
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 115 |
Liancourt Clermont
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 116 |
Diables Noirs
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 117 |
Dinan Léhon
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 118 |
Cesson
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 119 |
Noyelles sous Lens
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 120 |
Lunéville
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 121 |
Agde
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 122 |
Dragon
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 123 |
Roubaix
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 124 |
Chaumont
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 125 |
Rodez
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 126 |
OCPAM
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 127 |
Pays de Cassel
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 128 |
Vannes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 129 |
Saint-Cyr Collonges
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 130 |
Ajaccio
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 131 |
Samaritaine
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 132 |
Vendée Fontenay
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 133 |
Saint-Brieuc
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 134 |
Maladrerie
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 135 |
Auxerre
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 136 |
Chantilly
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 137 |
Jura Dolois
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 138 |
Le Havre
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 139 |
Biars-Bretenoux
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 140 |
Marboz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 141 |
Blenod
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 142 |
Marignane
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 143 |
Arles
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 144 |
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 145 |
Mérignac-Arlac
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 146 |
Sauveteurs Brivois
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 147 |
Lempdes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 148 |
Stade Beaucairois
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 149 |
Epinal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 150 |
Grandvillars
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 151 |
Sablé
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 152 |
Les Ulis
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 153 |
Gueugnon
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 154 |
Canet Roussillon
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 155 |
Bayonne
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 156 |
Foron
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 157 |
AC Paris 15
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 158 |
Anduzien
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 159 |
Fief-Gesté
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 160 |
Sarre Union
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 161 |
Saumur
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 162 |
Alençon
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 163 |
Ruffiac Malestroit
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 164 |
Arras
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 165 |
Comtal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 166 |
Grau-du-Roi
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 167 |
Bressuire
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 168 |
Etoile Matoury
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 169 |
Saint-Pierroise
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 170 |
Jeunesse Evolution
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 171 |
Niort
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 172 |
Houilles
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 173 |
Paimpol
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 174 |
Thouars
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 175 |
FCSR Obernai
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 176 |
Feytiat
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 177 |
Nousseviller
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 178 |
Boulay
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 179 |
Avenir Mourenxois
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 180 |
St Etienne
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 181 |
Montpellier
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 182 |
C' Chartres
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 183 |
Freyming
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 184 |
Cannet Rocheville
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 185 |
Guéreins Genouilleux
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 186 |
St-Just St-Rambert
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 187 |
Valdahon Vercel
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 188 |
ETC Anstaing Chéreng
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 189 |
Labourse
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 190 |
Montferrand
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 191 |
Vesoul
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 192 |
Serquigny Nassandres
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 193 |
Raismes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 194 |
Allobroges Asafia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 195 |
Haubourdin
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 196 |
St-Philbert Réorthe JA
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 197 |
Olympique Cazaux
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Etoile Matoury
Thionville Lusitanos
Boulay
Thionville Lusitanos
Thionville Lusitanos
Marseille
Thionville Lusitanos
Annecy
Hienghène Sport
Thionville Lusitanos
B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.