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Süper Lig

Referee: M Türkmen

Fenerbahce

T S U U S

3–0

Full-time

Alanyaspor

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,23 xG 0,35

49% Possession 51%

19 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 1

3 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 1. · Alanyaspor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+6	+3.8	7
2	Eyüpspor	3	2	1	0	+4	-0.4	7
3	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
4	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.2	6
5	Buyuksehyr	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.6	4
6	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.6	4
7	Antalyaspor	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.6	4
8	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	-4	+0.1	4
9	Goztep	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.6	3
10	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
11	Samsunspor	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.7	3
12	Konyaspor	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.5	3
13	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.2	3
14	Kasimpasa	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
15	Alanyaspor	3	0	2	1	-2	+2.7	2
16	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-4.4	1
17	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antalyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
2	Eyüpspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.6	3
3	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
4	Buyuksehyr	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
5	Bodrumspor	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
6	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.0	3
7	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
9	Goztep	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
10	Hatayspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
11	Kasimpasa	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
13	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-5	-0.0	1
14	Konyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
15	Ad. Demirspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
16	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
17	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+5	+2.6	4
2	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
3	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
4	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
5	Sivasspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
6	Rizespor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
8	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
9	Konyaspor	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
10	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
11	Buyuksehyr	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
12	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
13	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
14	Hatayspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.9	0
15	Antalyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
16	Alanyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
17	Bodrumspor	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.