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Süper Lig

Referee: C Aydın

Fenerbahce

S S S U S

2–1

Full-time

Ankaragücü

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Ankaragücü

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 55%

82%

27%

Points per game

2,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

59%

36%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

64%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,9

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,88 xG 0,89

63% Possession 37%

22 Shots 4

10 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 0

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 13

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 1. · Ankaragücü 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	22	18	3	1	+42	+41.9	57
2	Galatasaray	22	18	3	1	+33	+28.8	57
3	Trabzonspor	22	11	4	7	+8	-2.2	37
4	Besiktas	23	11	3	9	+2	+9.8	36
5	Rizespor	23	10	5	8	-6	-4.4	35
6	Antalyaspor	22	8	9	5	+6	+2.9	33
7	Ad. Demirspor	23	7	10	6	+7	-1.4	31
8	Buyuksehyr	23	8	6	9	+1	-3.7	30
9	Kasimpasa	22	8	5	9	-5	-8.5	29
10	Kayserispor	22	8	5	9	-5	-6.6	29
11	Sivasspor	23	7	8	8	-7	-5.1	29
12	Ankaragücü	22	6	10	6	+3	-1.7	28
13	Alanyaspor	23	6	9	8	-7	+3.9	27
14	Hatayspor	23	5	10	8	-3	-0.3	25
15	Samsunspor	22	7	4	11	-6	+2.8	25
16	Karagumruk	23	6	6	11	+1	-10.3	24
17	Gaziantep	22	6	5	11	-8	-8.2	23
18	Pendikspor	23	5	8	10	-17	-8.1	23
19	Konyaspor	23	4	9	10	-14	-12.9	21
20	İstanbulspor	22	3	4	15	-25	-16.5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	11	0	0	+20	+20.1	33
2	Fenerbahce	11	8	2	1	+22	+22.1	26
3	Rizespor	12	8	2	2	+7	+5.2	26
4	Ad. Demirspor	12	7	3	2	+13	+5.0	24
5	Antalyaspor	12	5	6	1	+4	+1.5	21
6	Besiktas	11	6	2	3	+5	+6.2	20
7	Samsunspor	11	6	2	3	+5	+4.0	20
8	Karagumruk	12	5	4	3	+10	-1.3	19
9	Trabzonspor	10	6	1	3	+2	+1.2	19
10	Kayserispor	11	5	3	3	+4	+1.9	18
11	Buyuksehyr	11	5	2	4	+4	-3.1	17
12	Ankaragücü	12	4	5	3	+3	+3.5	17
13	Alanyaspor	12	4	5	3	+1	+4.1	17
14	Kasimpasa	11	5	2	4	-1	-4.6	17
15	Hatayspor	11	3	6	2	+2	-0.5	15
16	Sivasspor	11	2	7	2	-1	+1.9	13
17	Konyaspor	11	3	3	5	+0	-0.7	12
18	Gaziantep	11	3	3	5	-4	-5.9	12
19	Pendikspor	11	3	3	5	-7	-6.1	12
20	İstanbulspor	11	2	2	7	-12	-10.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	11	10	1	0	+20	+19.8	31
2	Galatasaray	11	7	3	1	+13	+8.7	24
3	Trabzonspor	12	5	3	4	+6	-3.4	18
4	Besiktas	12	5	1	6	-3	+3.6	16
5	Sivasspor	12	5	1	6	-6	-7.1	16
6	Buyuksehyr	12	3	4	5	-3	-0.6	13
7	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	+2	+1.4	12
8	Kasimpasa	11	3	3	5	-4	-3.9	12
9	Ankaragücü	10	2	5	3	+0	-5.2	11
10	Gaziantep	11	3	2	6	-4	-2.3	11
11	Kayserispor	11	3	2	6	-9	-8.4	11
12	Pendikspor	12	2	5	5	-10	-2.0	11
13	Hatayspor	12	2	4	6	-5	+0.1	10
14	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-8	-0.2	10
15	Rizespor	11	2	3	6	-13	-9.6	9
16	Konyaspor	12	1	6	5	-14	-12.2	9
17	Ad. Demirspor	11	0	7	4	-6	-6.4	7
18	Karagumruk	11	1	2	8	-9	-9.1	5
19	Samsunspor	11	1	2	8	-11	-1.2	5
20	İstanbulspor	11	1	2	8	-13	-6.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.