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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Karagumruk

T S S U T

3–0

Full-time

Kayserispor

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

1,8

4,2

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 36%

38%

34%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

48%

55%

Both score Ø 54%

45%

62%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%

15 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 9. · Kayserispor 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	29	21	7	1	+33	70
2	Konyaspor	29	16	7	6	+16	55
3	Fenerbahce	29	14	8	7	+14	50
4	Buyuksehyr	29	14	5	10	+12	47
5	Alanyaspor	29	13	7	9	+6	46
6	Hatayspor	29	14	4	11	+2	46
7	Ad. Demirspor	29	12	9	8	+13	45
8	Besiktas	29	12	9	8	+5	45
9	Karagumruk	29	11	7	11	-10	40
10	Kayserispor	29	10	8	11	-2	38
11	Galatasaray	29	10	8	11	-3	38
12	Antalyaspor	29	10	8	11	-5	38
13	Sivasspor	29	9	10	10	+1	37
14	Gaziantep	29	10	7	12	-4	37
15	Kasimpasa	29	9	8	12	+0	35
16	Giresunspor	29	10	5	14	-2	35
17	Altay	29	8	5	16	-11	29
18	Goztep	29	7	6	16	-12	27
19	Rizespor	29	6	5	18	-27	23
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	29	5	5	19	-26	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	15	11	4	0	+17	37
2	Konyaspor	15	10	4	1	+14	34
3	Gaziantep	14	9	4	1	+14	31
4	Kayserispor	15	9	3	3	+12	30
5	Besiktas	14	9	3	2	+9	30
6	Hatayspor	14	9	2	3	+13	29
7	Buyuksehyr	15	9	1	5	+9	28
8	Fenerbahce	14	7	4	3	+10	25
9	Antalyaspor	14	7	4	3	+8	25
10	Galatasaray	15	7	3	5	+4	24
11	Ad. Demirspor	14	6	5	3	+11	23
12	Karagumruk	14	6	5	3	+5	23
13	Alanyaspor	15	6	4	5	+5	22
14	Kasimpasa	15	6	4	5	+5	22
15	Sivasspor	14	4	8	2	+8	20
16	Giresunspor	15	6	2	7	+0	20
17	Rizespor	15	6	2	7	-2	20
18	Altay	14	5	2	7	-3	17
19	Goztep	15	4	2	9	-5	14
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	14	3	3	8	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	14	10	3	1	+16	33
2	Fenerbahce	15	7	4	4	+4	25
3	Alanyaspor	14	7	3	4	+1	24
4	Ad. Demirspor	15	6	4	5	+2	22
5	Konyaspor	14	6	3	5	+2	21
6	Buyuksehyr	14	5	4	5	+3	19
7	Sivasspor	15	5	2	8	-7	17
8	Hatayspor	15	5	2	8	-11	17
9	Karagumruk	15	5	2	8	-15	17
10	Giresunspor	14	4	3	7	-2	15
11	Besiktas	15	3	6	6	-4	15
12	Galatasaray	14	3	5	6	-7	14
13	Kasimpasa	14	3	4	7	-5	13
14	Goztep	14	3	4	7	-7	13
15	Antalyaspor	15	3	4	8	-13	13
16	Altay	15	3	3	9	-8	12
17	Kayserispor	14	1	5	8	-14	8
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	15	2	2	11	-14	8
19	Gaziantep	15	1	3	11	-18	6
20	Rizespor	14	0	3	11	-25	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.