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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: E Bodding
Raufoss
U T S T S
2–3
Full-time
Jerv
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raufoss Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,3
3,7
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
69%
Both score Ø 66%
44%
88%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Raufoss 11. · Jerv 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 16 8 8 0 +12 32
2 Kongsvinger 16 10 1 5 +7 31
3 Sogndal 16 9 3 4 +8 30
4 KFUM Oslo 16 8 4 4 +8 28
5 Start 16 6 6 4 +8 24
6 Kristiansund 15 6 5 4 +5 23
7 Moss 16 6 5 5 -2 23
8 Jerv 16 6 4 6 -3 22
9 Mjondalen 16 6 3 7 -1 21
10 Ranheim 16 6 2 8 -13 20
11 Raufoss 16 5 4 7 -1 19
12 Bryne 15 5 4 6 -1 19
13 Sandnes ULF 16 4 5 7 +3 17
14 hodd 16 3 5 8 -8 14
15 Asane 16 1 8 7 -6 11
16 Skeid 16 2 5 9 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Raufoss Jerv
1–0 A. Helmersen
4′
21′
🟨 R. Hauge
1–1 E. Philibert
own goal
34′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Ugland
↦ E. Philibert
49′
Samuel Pedro 1–2
M. Fagernes 🔁
↦ R. Nelson
53′
66′
🔁 E. Hustad
↦ P. Syvertsen
66′
🔁 L. Fernandes
↦ L. Larade
69′
Samuel Pedro 1–3
F. Brattbakk 🔁
↦ J. Ørsahl
73′
75′
🟨 L. Fernandes
82′
🔁 M. Wichmann
↦ E. Brenden
92′
🟨 M. Ugland
93′
M. Wichmann 1–4
95′
🔁 H. Krogelien
↦ Samuel Pedro
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
16 J. Ørsahl
4 S. Westerlund
5 O. Jansson
14 J. Haruna
6 E. Emsis
8 M. Johnsgård
10 L. Mettler
22 R. Nelson
20 G. Simenstad
9 A. Helmersen
Bench (9)
21 M. Fagernes
26 F. Brattbakk
3 T. Engebakken
7 A. Østerud
17 H. Befring
18 K. Somesi
31 A. Fagereng
15 J. Ampofo
33 M. Vieira

Coach: J. Wålemark

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
5 E. Sandberg
2 T. Wichne
4 A. Mutsinzi
3 L. Larade
27 E. Philibert
15 E. Brenden
7 R. Hauge
21 S. Auklend
54 P. Syvertsen
11 Samuel Pedro
Bench (8)
8 M. Ugland
9 E. Hustad
10 L. Fernandes
6 M. Wichmann
16 H. Krogelien
23 T. Ness
88 E. Duesund
26 G. Dirdal

Coach: E. Kjønø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.