OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Jerv
Moss
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Fredrikstad
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | +12 | 32 |
| 2 |
Kongsvinger
|
15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 31 |
| 3 |
Sogndal
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |
KFUM Oslo
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 5 |
Start
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |
Kristiansund
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 22 |
| 7 |
Moss
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 |
Jerv
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 |
Ranheim
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 20 |
| 10 |
Mjondalen
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |
Sandnes ULF
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | +4 | 17 |
| 12 |
Bryne
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |
Raufoss
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 16 |
| 14 |
hodd
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 |
Asane
|
15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -16 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ø. Øvretveit
S. Auklend
Coach: E. Kjønø
I. Hoffmann
M. Andresen
A. Potur
Cláudio Braga
Coach: T. Myhre
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sogndal
Jerv
Jerv
KFUM Oslo
Start
Jerv
Jerv
Raufoss
Kjelsås
Jerv
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.