Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Line-ups
HZVV
16
Quinten Anakotta
4
Wout Dijkhuis
6
Thom Hulshof
19
Sander Jansen
2
Leon Mulder
11
Milan Ronkes
3
K. Steg
1
Maiko Zwiep
8
Micah Veld
12
Maurice Tinholt
10
Toine Slor
Bench (6)
17
Luc Timmerman
20
Janiek Jongsma
5
Jaël Boer
7
Jens Van Rooijen
21
Daan Zwinselman
14
Jan Hup
Frisia
6
Bas Verbree
1
Mitchell Timmer
14
Delachance Sabuni
16
T. Verweij
2
J. van der Meer
8
Quinten Lamsma
18
Max Huiskamp
5
Milan Smit
10
Stefan Efde
15
Boyd Dijkstra
Bench (6)
22
Tarik Bourakba
17
Yannick Agbagni
20
Sami El Ghaouti
7
Jippe Hiemstra
11
Lucas Peterson
4
Denian Timmer
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.