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Puchar Polski
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Polonia Środa Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Podhale Nowy Targ 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Górnik Łęczna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Pogoń Siedlce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Odra Opole 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Tychy 71 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Zaglebie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Kluczevia Stargard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Wisla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Warta Poznan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Wisła Płock II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -3 0
33 Chemik Bydgoszcz 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Polonia Środa Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1–0 P. Skrobosinski
12′
N. Walkowiak 🔁
↦ M. Garstkiewicz
19′
19′
A. Danek 1–1
2–1 J. Wilczynski
45′
Half-time 2–2
49′
P. Kielis 2–2
59′
🔁 A. Brenkus
↦ E. Kosinski
3–2 J. Wilczynski
65′
M. Ciapa 🔁
↦ M. Stangel
70′
K. Zmudz 🔁
↦ M. Mackowiak
70′
71′
🔁 M. Kolar
↦ F. Piszczek
71′
🔁 L. Gerstenstein
↦ A. Danek
71′
🔁 K. Ogorzaly
↦ K. Smajdor
77′
🟥
79′
🔁 K. Szymkowiak
↦ W. Blyszko
M. Walczak 🔁
↦ F. Karmanski
84′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Polonia Środa

12 M. Garstkiewicz
4 J. Kledecki
7 P. Mikita
9 J. Wilczynski
10 B. Bartkowiak
18 P. Ratajczak
22 P. Skrobosinski
23 M. Stangel
29 M. Mackowiak
38 K. Gorecki
97 F. Karmanski
Bench (9)
13 N. Walkowiak
2 M. Walczak
6 J. De Amo
8 M. Ciapa
11 I. Sukhenko
17 M. Kowalski
24 S. Sarbinowski
71 K. Zmudz
96 S. Kubiak

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

30 B. Glogowski
47 W. Blyszko
26 P. Kowalik
16 K. Smajdor
23 A. Danek
20 E. Kosinski
19 T. Kolbon
12 T. Divis
33 B. Kasprzak
76 P. Kielis
25 F. Piszczek
Bench (9)
1 K. Szymkowiak
3 W. Plesnierowicz
6 M. Zurawski
7 M. Kolar
8 L. Gerstenstein
9 D. Holan
11 S. Kawala
29 A. Brenkus
98 K. Ogorzaly

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.