Allsvenskan
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Oster
Varberg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hacken
|
30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | +32 | 64 |
| 2 |
Djurgarden
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +30 | 57 |
| 3 |
Hammarby
|
30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | +33 | 56 |
| 4 |
Kalmar
|
30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | +14 | 51 |
| 5 |
AIK
|
30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | +9 | 50 |
| 6 |
Elfsborg
|
30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +20 | 49 |
| 7 |
Malmo FF
|
30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +10 | 46 |
| 8 |
Goteborg
|
30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | +3 | 45 |
| 9 |
Mjallby
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +0 | 43 |
| 10 |
Varnamo
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 37 |
| 11 |
Sirius
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 35 |
| 12 |
Norrkoping
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 |
Degerfors
|
30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -17 | 31 |
| 14 |
Varberg
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -26 | 31 |
| 15 |
Helsingborg
|
30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | -30 | 17 |
| 16 |
Sundsvall
|
30 | 4 | 2 | 24 | -52 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
A Ekberg · 46 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.