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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Maqedonci
Hammarby
T S U U U
2–2
Full-time
Sirius
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 39%
41%
37%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
48%
63%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 7. · Sirius 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 28 19 4 5 +36 +10.3 61
2 Elfsborg 27 19 3 5 +33 +5.7 60
3 Hacken 28 17 3 8 +29 +7.9 54
4 Djurgarden 28 15 5 8 +8 +2.5 50
5 Varnamo 28 14 2 12 +5 +0.7 44
6 Kalmar 28 12 6 10 -3 -4.9 42
7 Hammarby 27 11 8 8 +2 +1.5 41
8 Norrkoping 28 11 5 12 +1 +2.3 38
9 Mjallby 28 11 5 12 -2 -1.9 38
10 Sirius 27 10 5 12 +3 +7.9 35
11 AIK 28 8 8 12 -6 -0.0 32
12 Halmstad 28 8 8 12 -17 -5.8 32
13 Goteborg 27 7 9 11 -4 -1.0 30
14 Brommapojkarna 28 8 3 17 -15 -3.2 27
15 Degerfors 28 7 4 17 -31 -10.2 25
16 Varberg 28 3 6 19 -39 -11.8 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Sirius
-5′
🟨 Jakob Voelkerling Persson
Edvin Kurtulus 🟨
11′
Deniz Gul 🟨
23′
1–0 N. Besara
40′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 V. Đukanović
M. Karlsson
60′
61′
🔁 J. Persson
↦ H. Sjögrell
M. Fenger 🔁
↦ E. Kurtulus
67′
A. Kralj 🔁
↦ Marc Llinares
67′
M. Rafferty 🔁
↦ A. Demirol
74′
A. Mikkelsen 🔁
↦ V. Đukanović
74′
74′
🔁 A. Wikman
↦ M. Jeng
75′
🔁 A. Bjarnason
↦ J. de Kamps
A. Nalić 🔁
↦ M. Madjed
86′
86′
🔁 André Al Sanati
↦ J. Voelkerling Persson
92′
André Al Sanati 2–1
95′
H. Castegren 2–2
M. Heier
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-3-3
1 O. Dovin G
36 M. Karlsson D
4 E. Kurtulus D
32 N. Adjei D
2 Marc Llinares D
20 N. Besara M
34 A. Demirol M
33 F. Hammar M
38 M. Madjed F
46 D. Gül F
7 V. Đukanović F
Bench (9)
13 M. Fenger
3 A. Kralj
45 M. Rafferty
17 A. Mikkelsen
9 A. Nalić
40 A. Boudah
25 D. Blažević
22 J. Nilsson
30 S. Pinas

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Sirius

5-4-1
1 D. Mitov Nilsson G
16 H. Sjögrell D
5 T. Carlsson D
4 H. Castegren D
31 M. Jeng D
13 J. Voelkerling Persson D
6 J. de Kamps M
8 D. Stensson M
7 T. Matthews M
19 M. Heier M
9 W. Abou Ali F
Bench (9)
20 J. Persson
18 A. Wikman
14 A. Bjarnason
22 André Al Sanati
21 D. Widgren
25 F. Majchrowicz
35 H. Sveijer
12 Ó. Ómarsson
11 F. Olsson

Coach: C. Mattiasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Maqedonci · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.