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Premier League
Referee: A Marriner
Brentford
T T S T T
1–3
Full-time
Man United
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Premier League · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 37%
29%
45%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
52%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
52%
60%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brentford 14. · Man United 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 22 18 2 2 +41 56
2 Liverpool 21 13 6 2 +37 45
3 Chelsea 23 12 8 3 +28 44
4 West Ham 22 11 4 7 +11 37
5 Tottenham 19 11 3 5 +4 36
6 Arsenal 20 11 2 7 +8 35
7 Man United 20 9 5 6 +3 32
8 Wolves 20 9 4 7 +2 31
9 Brighton 21 6 11 4 +0 29
10 Leicester 19 7 4 8 -3 25
11 Crystal Palace 21 5 9 7 -1 24
12 Southampton 21 5 9 7 -8 24
13 Aston Villa 20 7 2 11 -5 23
14 Brentford 21 6 5 10 -9 23
15 Leeds 20 5 7 8 -15 22
16 Everton 19 5 4 10 -10 19
17 Watford 19 4 2 13 -14 14
18 Norwich 21 3 4 14 -35 13
19 Newcastle 20 1 9 10 -23 12
20 Burnley 17 1 8 8 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Man United
Half-time 0–1
55′
A. Elanga 0–1
Fred
62′
M. Greenwood 0–2
Bruno Fernandes
63′
ℹ️ Mason Greenwood
VAR: Goal confirmed
S. Baptiste 🔁
↦ V. Janelt
64′
R. Henry 🔁
↦ Sergi Canós
64′
Y. Wissa 🔁
↦ M. Jensen
67′
71′
🔁 H. Maguire
↦ Cristiano Ronaldo
71′
🔁 M. Rashford
↦ M. Greenwood
77′
M. Rashford 0–3
Bruno Fernandes
84′
🔁 N. Matić
↦ S. McTominay
1–3 I. Toney
C. Nørgaard
85′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Brentford

3-5-2
49 J. Lössl G
18 P. Jansson D
29 M. Sørensen D
30 M. Rasmussen M
5 E. Pinnock D
6 C. Nørgaard M
7 Sergi Canós M
8 M. Jensen M
27 V. Janelt M
17 I. Toney F
19 B. Mbeumo F
Bench (9)
26 S. Baptiste
3 R. Henry
11 Y. Wissa
14 S. Ghoddos
28 M. Bidstrup
9 M. Forss
20 K. Ajer
40 Álvaro Fernández
36 F. Stevens

Coach: T. Frank

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
27 Alex Telles D
2 V. Lindelöf D
19 R. Varane D
20 Diogo Dalot D
17 Fred M
18 Bruno Fernandes M
39 S. McTominay M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
11 M. Greenwood M
36 A. Elanga M
Bench (9)
5 H. Maguire
10 M. Rashford
31 N. Matić
4 P. Jones
34 D. van de Beek
8 Mata
22 T. Heaton
26 D. Henderson
9 A. Martial

Coach: R. Rangnick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,51
U
3,64
B ✓
1,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,94
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Marriner · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.