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Championship

Referee: T Nield

Stoke

U S T U T

0–1

Full-time

Wigan

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Wigan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Championship · 42/42 matches

Win Ø 26%

33%

19%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

48%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

9 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stoke 16. · Wigan 24. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	41	26	13	2	+48	91
2	Sheffield United	41	24	7	10	+28	79
3	Middlesbrough	41	21	8	12	+29	71
4	Luton	39	20	11	8	+17	71
5	Millwall	42	18	11	13	+9	65
6	Blackburn	41	19	6	16	-2	63
7	Preston	42	17	11	14	-6	62
8	Norwich	42	17	10	15	+8	61
9	West Brom	41	16	12	13	+7	60
10	Sunderland	40	16	11	13	+9	59
11	Watford	42	15	14	13	+4	59
12	Coventry	40	15	13	12	+8	58
13	Swansea	42	15	11	16	-2	56
14	Bristol City	42	13	14	15	-2	53
15	Hull	42	13	14	15	-9	53
16	Stoke	42	14	10	18	+5	52
17	Birmingham	42	13	11	18	-8	50
18	Reading	42	13	9	20	-19	48
19	Rotherham	41	10	15	16	-10	45
20	Huddersfield	42	11	10	21	-19	43
21	QPR	42	11	10	21	-27	43
22	Cardiff	41	11	9	21	-16	42
23	Blackpool	42	9	11	22	-23	38
24	Wigan	42	8	13	21	-29	37

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	21	15	6	0	+32	51
2	Middlesbrough	21	12	6	3	+25	42
3	Sheffield United	20	13	3	4	+22	42
4	Blackburn	20	13	2	5	+9	41
5	Millwall	21	11	6	4	+14	39
6	West Brom	21	10	7	4	+11	37
7	Watford	21	10	6	5	+12	36
8	Reading	21	10	6	5	+7	36
9	Luton	20	9	7	4	+9	34
10	Bristol City	21	8	7	6	+6	31
11	Swansea	21	9	4	8	+3	31
12	Coventry	19	8	6	5	+2	30
13	Rotherham	20	8	5	7	+7	29
14	Norwich	21	8	5	8	+4	29
15	Hull	21	8	5	8	-4	29
16	Birmingham	21	7	6	8	+2	27
17	Sunderland	20	7	6	7	+0	27
18	Huddersfield	21	7	6	8	-2	27
19	Preston	21	7	6	8	-5	27
20	Blackpool	21	6	6	9	-3	24
21	Cardiff	21	6	6	9	-3	24
22	Stoke	21	6	5	10	+0	23
23	QPR	21	6	4	11	-12	22
24	Wigan	21	4	6	11	-19	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	20	11	7	2	+16	40
2	Luton	19	11	4	4	+8	37
3	Sheffield United	21	11	4	6	+6	37
4	Preston	21	10	5	6	-1	35
5	Sunderland	20	9	5	6	+9	32
6	Norwich	21	9	5	7	+4	32
7	Stoke	21	8	5	8	+5	29
8	Middlesbrough	20	9	2	9	+4	29
9	Coventry	21	7	7	7	+6	28
10	Millwall	21	7	5	9	-5	26
11	Swansea	21	6	7	8	-5	25
12	Hull	21	5	9	7	-5	24
13	West Brom	20	6	5	9	-4	23
14	Watford	21	5	8	8	-8	23
15	Birmingham	21	6	5	10	-10	23
16	Bristol City	21	5	7	9	-8	22
17	Blackburn	21	6	4	11	-11	22
18	QPR	21	5	6	10	-15	21
19	Wigan	21	4	7	10	-10	19
20	Cardiff	20	5	3	12	-13	18
21	Huddersfield	21	4	4	13	-17	16
22	Rotherham	21	2	10	9	-17	16
23	Blackpool	21	3	5	13	-20	14
24	Reading	21	3	3	15	-26	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.