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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Arys
LKS Lodz
T U S T T
1–2
Full-time
Slask Wroclaw
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LKS Lodz Slask Wroclaw
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 32%
17%
47%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
57%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,79 xG 1,44
67% Possession 33%
17 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match LKS Lodz 18. · Slask Wroclaw 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 30 16 8 6 +27 +13.2 56
2 Lech Poznan 31 14 10 7 +8 -5.7 52
3 Slask Wroclaw 30 14 9 7 +11 +6.0 51
4 Gornik Zabrze 31 15 6 10 +5 -8.0 51
5 Legia 30 13 11 6 +12 +9.3 50
6 Rakow 30 13 10 7 +19 +20.4 49
7 Pogon Szczecin 30 14 6 10 +20 +13.4 48
8 Widzew Lodz 30 12 6 12 +0 -3.2 42
9 Piast Gliwice 30 8 14 8 +0 +13.2 38
10 Stal Mielec 30 10 8 12 -6 -11.8 38
11 Zaglebie 30 10 8 12 -11 +3.0 38
12 Cracovia 31 7 15 9 +3 +0.0 36
13 Radomiak Radom 30 9 8 13 -14 -4.4 35
14 Warta Poznan 30 8 10 12 -6 -9.1 34
15 Puszcza 30 7 12 11 -11 -14.8 33
16 Korona Kielce 30 6 13 11 -4 -0.6 31
17 Ruch Chorzow 31 4 14 13 -17 -6.0 26
18 LKS Lodz 30 5 6 19 -36 -14.9 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

LKS Lodz Slask Wroclaw
41′
ℹ️ Matías Nahuel
VAR: Goal cancelled
44′
🟨 Matías Nahuel
Half-time 0–0
Michał Mokrzycki ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
51′
1–0 Dani Ramírez
53′
56′
🔁 P. Samiec-Talar
↦ M. Żukowski
61′
🟨 Yegor Matsenko
Engjell Hoti 🟨
64′
69′
🔁 J. Jezierski
↦ M. Rzuchowski
71′
Y. Matsenko 1–1
P. Schwarz
A. Louveau 🔁
↦ E. Hoti
72′
P. Janczukowicz 🔁
↦ H. Balić
72′
76′
P. Samiec-Talar 1–2
J. Jezierski
B. Szeliga 🔁
↦ A. Młynarczyk
80′
J. Letniowski 🔁
↦ M. Mokrzycki
80′
81′
🟨 Yegor Matsenko
81′
🟥 Yegor Matsenko
Pirulo 🔁
↦ P. Głowacki
85′
89′
🔁 M. Konczkowski
↦ P. Samiec-Talar
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

LKS Lodz

4-1-4-1
1 A. Bobek G
8 K. Dankowski D
4 R. Məmmədov D
2 L. Gülen D
37 P. Głowacki D
14 M. Mokrzycki M
9 K. Tejan M
16 Dani Ramírez M
11 E. Hoti M
15 A. Młynarczyk M
70 H. Balić F
Bench (9)
24 A. Louveau
20 P. Janczukowicz
26 B. Szeliga
27 J. Letniowski
10 Pirulo
30 O. Koprowski
21 S. Jurić
99 D. Arndt
3 A. Tutyškinas

Coach: M. Matysiak

Slask Wroclaw

4-1-4-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
33 Y. Matsenko
2 A. Paluszek D
87 S. Petrov D
4 Ł. Bejger D
16 P. Pokorný M
22 M. Żukowski M
28 M. Rzuchowski M
17 P. Schwarz M
10 Nahuel Leiva M
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (9)
24 P. Samiec-Talar
29 J. Jezierski
27 M. Konczkowski
35 K. Trelowski
26 B. İnce
23 D. Łukasik
8 P. Olsen
78 T. Guercio
21 P. Szwedzik

Coach: J. Magiera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Arys · 61 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.