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Allsvenskan

Referee: Richard Sundell

Varnamo

U U T U T

0–0

Full-time

Elfsborg

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

67%

42%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

0,9

2,1

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 16. · Elfsborg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	13	9	3	1	+16	+1.7	30
2	Hammarby	14	9	3	2	+16	+10.5	30
3	AIK	14	8	5	1	+9	+1.9	29
4	Elfsborg	12	8	1	3	+10	+5.8	25
5	Malmo FF	13	6	4	3	+9	+10.5	22
6	Goteborg	13	6	1	6	-3	+0.2	19
7	GAIS	12	4	6	2	+5	+5.1	18
8	Hacken	12	4	3	5	-4	-0.2	15
9	Djurgarden	12	4	3	5	-6	-3.9	15
10	Norrkoping	12	4	2	6	-3	-5.8	14
11	Sirius	13	3	4	6	-3	-5.4	13
12	Brommapojkarna	13	4	1	8	-3	+0.2	13
13	Degerfors	13	4	1	8	-8	+0.7	13
14	Halmstad	13	4	1	8	-16	-7.5	13
15	Oster	13	3	3	7	-6	-8.4	12
16	Varnamo	12	0	3	9	-13	-5.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	8	6	1	1	+11	+8.9	19
2	Mjallby	6	5	1	0	+9	+2.4	16
3	Elfsborg	7	5	1	1	+8	+2.1	16
4	Malmo FF	7	4	2	1	+8	+6.3	14
5	AIK	6	4	2	0	+7	+1.9	14
6	Halmstad	7	3	0	4	-8	-2.0	9
7	GAIS	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.7	8
8	Hacken	6	2	2	2	+0	+3.3	8
9	Sirius	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.9	7
10	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-1	+1.2	7
11	Norrkoping	7	2	1	4	-3	-1.4	7
12	Djurgarden	6	1	3	2	-2	-1.2	6
13	Oster	6	1	2	3	-3	-4.8	5
14	Degerfors	7	1	1	5	-9	-1.4	4
15	Brommapojkarna	6	1	0	5	-6	+0.3	3
16	Varnamo	6	0	2	4	-5	-2.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	8	4	3	1	+2	+0.0	15
2	Mjallby	7	4	2	1	+7	-0.7	14
3	Goteborg	7	4	0	3	-2	-1.0	12
4	Hammarby	6	3	2	1	+5	+1.5	11
5	Brommapojkarna	7	3	1	3	+3	-0.1	10
6	GAIS	7	2	4	1	+3	+2.4	10
7	Elfsborg	5	3	0	2	+2	+3.7	9
8	Degerfors	6	3	0	3	+1	+2.1	9
9	Djurgarden	6	3	0	3	-4	-2.7	9
10	Malmo FF	6	2	2	2	+1	+4.2	8
11	Norrkoping	5	2	1	2	+0	-4.4	7
12	Oster	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.6	7
13	Hacken	6	2	1	3	-4	-3.5	7
14	Sirius	7	1	3	3	-2	-4.5	6
15	Halmstad	6	1	1	4	-8	-5.5	4
16	Varnamo	6	0	1	5	-8	-2.9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.