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Allsvenskan

Referee: Erik Mattsson

Mjallby

T S S S U

2–0

Full-time

Varnamo

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjallby Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

67%

55%

Both score Ø 74%

75%

73%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,1

1,0

Conceded

0,9

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,73 xG 0,78

63% Possession 37%

17 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mjallby 1. · Varnamo 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	12	8	3	1	+14	+0.8	27
2	Hammarby	13	8	3	2	+14	+8.4	27
3	AIK	12	7	5	0	+8	+1.0	26
4	Elfsborg	12	8	1	3	+10	+5.8	25
5	Malmo FF	13	6	4	3	+9	+10.5	22
6	Goteborg	12	6	1	5	+0	+0.2	19
7	GAIS	12	4	6	2	+5	+5.1	18
8	Hacken	12	4	3	5	-4	-0.2	15
9	Djurgarden	12	4	3	5	-6	-3.9	15
10	Norrkoping	12	4	2	6	-3	-5.8	14
11	Degerfors	12	4	1	7	-5	+0.7	13
12	Halmstad	12	4	1	7	-14	-5.5	13
13	Oster	12	3	2	7	-6	-6.7	11
14	Brommapojkarna	12	3	1	8	-6	+0.2	10
15	Sirius	11	2	3	6	-5	-6.1	9
16	Varnamo	11	0	3	8	-11	-4.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	7	5	1	1	+9	+6.9	16
2	Elfsborg	7	5	1	1	+8	+2.1	16
3	Malmo FF	7	4	2	1	+8	+6.3	14
4	Mjallby	5	4	1	0	+7	+1.4	13
5	AIK	5	3	2	0	+4	+1.9	11
6	Halmstad	7	3	0	4	-8	-2.0	9
7	GAIS	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.7	8
8	Hacken	6	2	2	2	+0	+3.3	8
9	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-1	+1.2	7
10	Norrkoping	7	2	1	4	-3	-1.4	7
11	Djurgarden	6	1	3	2	-2	-1.2	6
12	Sirius	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.0	4
13	Oster	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.1	4
14	Degerfors	6	1	1	4	-6	-1.4	4
15	Brommapojkarna	6	1	0	5	-6	+0.3	3
16	Varnamo	6	0	2	4	-5	-2.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	7	4	3	0	+4	-1.0	15
2	Mjallby	7	4	2	1	+7	-0.7	14
3	Goteborg	6	4	0	2	+1	-1.0	12
4	Hammarby	6	3	2	1	+5	+1.5	11
5	GAIS	7	2	4	1	+3	+2.4	10
6	Elfsborg	5	3	0	2	+2	+3.7	9
7	Degerfors	6	3	0	3	+1	+2.1	9
8	Djurgarden	6	3	0	3	-4	-2.7	9
9	Malmo FF	6	2	2	2	+1	+4.2	8
10	Norrkoping	5	2	1	2	+0	-4.4	7
11	Brommapojkarna	6	2	1	3	+0	-0.1	7
12	Oster	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.6	7
13	Hacken	6	2	1	3	-4	-3.5	7
14	Sirius	6	1	2	3	-2	-6.2	5
15	Halmstad	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.5	4
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-6	-2.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.