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Allsvenskan

Referee: Joakim Ostling

Elfsborg

S S T S S

4–3

Full-time

Brommapojkarna

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Brommapojkarna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 53%

63%

43%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

38%

43%

Both score Ø 41%

38%

43%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

3,06 xG 2,57

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 4. · Brommapojkarna 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	9	6	3	0	+7	+0.8	21
2	Hammarby	9	6	2	1	+12	+7.1	20
3	Mjallby	8	5	2	1	+10	-0.7	17
4	Elfsborg	8	5	1	2	+4	+4.2	16
5	Malmo FF	8	4	2	2	+4	+4.9	14
6	GAIS	9	2	5	2	+1	+0.5	11
7	Djurgarden	7	3	2	2	+0	+2.3	11
8	Hacken	9	3	2	4	-3	+1.0	11
9	Norrkoping	8	3	1	4	+0	-2.7	10
10	Brommapojkarna	7	3	1	3	+0	+0.4	10
11	Degerfors	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.2	10
12	Goteborg	8	3	1	4	-4	+0.9	10
13	Halmstad	9	3	1	5	-9	-7.7	10
14	Sirius	9	2	3	4	-3	-5.1	9
15	Oster	8	1	0	7	-8	-5.2	3
16	Varnamo	8	0	1	7	-9	-1.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	5	4	1	0	+9	+5.8	13
2	Mjallby	4	3	1	0	+6	+1.9	10
3	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.2	10
4	AIK	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.4	10
5	Malmo FF	4	2	1	1	+2	+4.2	7
6	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
7	Halmstad	5	2	0	3	-6	-4.2	6
8	GAIS	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.2	5
9	Djurgarden	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.0	5
10	Hacken	5	1	2	2	-2	+2.3	5
11	Goteborg	4	1	1	2	-1	+3.0	4
12	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.4	4
13	Degerfors	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.3	4
14	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
15	Oster	4	1	0	3	-3	-2.7	3
16	Varnamo	4	0	0	4	-5	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	5	3	2	0	+3	-0.6	11
2	Mjallby	4	2	1	1	+4	-2.6	7
3	Hammarby	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.3	7
4	Brommapojkarna	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.0	7
5	Malmo FF	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.7	7
6	Degerfors	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.5	6
7	GAIS	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.3	6
8	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.3	6
9	Hacken	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.3	6
10	Elfsborg	4	2	0	2	-1	+3.0	6
11	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	-3	-2.1	6
12	Sirius	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.7	5
13	Norrkoping	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.9	4
14	Halmstad	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.5	4
15	Varnamo	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.0	1
16	Oster	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.