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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Maqedonci
Elfsborg
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Varnamo
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Varnamo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
71%
43%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
3,6
2,1
Scored
2,6
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
19 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elfsborg 4. · Varnamo 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 7 7 0 0 +16 21
2 Hacken 8 6 0 2 +14 18
3 Norrkoping 8 5 2 1 +7 17
4 Elfsborg 7 5 1 1 +11 16
5 Kalmar 7 3 2 2 +3 11
6 Djurgarden 7 3 1 3 -1 10
7 Brommapojkarna 7 3 1 3 -3 10
8 Mjallby 7 2 3 2 +0 9
9 Varnamo 7 3 0 4 -1 9
10 Halmstad 7 3 0 4 -7 9
11 Hammarby 7 2 1 4 -4 7
12 Degerfors 8 2 0 6 -15 6
13 Goteborg 7 1 2 4 +1 5
14 Sirius 7 0 5 2 -4 5
15 AIK 7 1 2 4 -5 5
16 Varberg 8 0 4 4 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elfsborg Varnamo
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Ondrejka
N. Hult
52′
Gustaf Lagerbielke 🟨
58′
59′
🔁 Netinho
↦ M. Bustos
59′
🔁 H. Näsström
↦ S. Thern
A. Bernhardsson 🔁
↦ J. Okkels
65′
67′
🟨 Lamaur Neto
2–0 A. Bernhardsson
70′
Emmanuel Boateng 🟨
72′
T. Ouma 🔁
↦ E. Boateng
73′
73′
🔁 K. Bilalovic
↦ A. Zeljkovic
Timothy Ouma 🟨
74′
K. Holmén 🔁
↦ A. Qasem
76′
J. Cooper 🔁
↦ S. Guðjohnsen
76′
Kevin Holmén 🟨
79′
89′
🔁 A. Ademi
↦ O. Johansson
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Elfsborg

4-2-3-1
30 H. Valdimarsson G
13 J. Larsson D
8 S. Holmén D
2 G. Lagerbielke D
23 N. Hult D
26 E. Boateng M
6 A. Rømer M
7 J. Ondrejka M
18 A. Qasem M
19 J. Okkels M
11 S. Guðjohnsen F
Bench (9)
12 A. Bernhardsson
16 T. Ouma
22 K. Holmén
25 J. Cooper
31 T. Rönning
29 I. Buhari
20 G. Rapp
4 G. Henriksson
21 A. Boman

Coach: J. Thelin

Varnamo

4-3-3
1 J. Rasheed G
5 V. Larsson D
25 V. Eriksson D
24 E. Grozdanic D
3 V. Bergh D
9 O. Johansson M
22 S. Thern M
18 Wenderson M
19 M. Bustos F
14 G. Engvall F
10 A. Zeljkovic F
Bench (9)
4 Netinho
6 H. Näsström
32 K. Bilalovic
8 A. Ademi
30 P. Vaitsiakhovich
33 Bernardo Vilar
16 A. Lohikangas
17 J. Dickman
11 E. Bećirović

Coach: K. Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Maqedonci · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.