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Eliteserien

Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam

Bodo/Glimt

T S T S S

1–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 49%

67%

30%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

89%

40%

Both score Ø 47%

33%

60%

Average goals

3,4

2,6

Scored

2,6

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,90 xG 1,48

66% Possession 34%

29 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 6

11 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bodo/Glimt 4. · Sarpsborg 08 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	14	10	3	1	+21	+13.9	33
2	Rosenborg	13	6	5	2	+3	+6.0	23
3	Brann	12	7	2	3	+2	+10.4	23
4	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	1	2	+15	+7.7	19
5	Tromso	10	6	1	3	+4	+1.6	19
6	Sandefjord	10	6	0	4	+5	+1.3	18
7	Fredrikstad	11	5	2	4	+2	-3.1	17
8	Kristiansund	13	5	2	6	-2	-5.1	17
9	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	5	2	+6	+5.4	14
10	Molde	11	4	2	5	+0	+0.8	14
11	Bryne	10	4	1	5	-3	+0.6	13
12	Valerenga	11	3	2	6	-4	-1.9	11
13	Ham-Kam	10	3	2	5	-9	-6.2	11
14	KFUM Oslo	10	2	2	6	-4	-1.5	8
15	Stromsgodset	10	2	0	8	-9	-7.7	6
16	Haugesund	12	0	2	10	-27	-22.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	7	5	2	0	+13	+8.2	17
2	Sandefjord	5	5	0	0	+11	+4.6	15
3	Brann	7	4	2	1	+3	+6.7	14
4	Fredrikstad	6	4	1	1	+6	-1.5	13
5	Rosenborg	7	3	4	0	+5	+6.9	13
6	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+11	+5.6	12
7	Tromso	5	3	0	2	+1	+2.1	9
8	Bryne	5	3	0	2	+0	+4.1	9
9	Ham-Kam	5	2	1	2	-3	-1.8	7
10	KFUM Oslo	5	2	0	3	+2	-0.5	6
11	Kristiansund	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.6	6
12	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	2	2	+2	+3.6	5
13	Valerenga	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.0	4
14	Molde	5	1	1	3	-3	+1.6	4
15	Haugesund	6	0	2	4	-14	-6.7	2
16	Stromsgodset	5	0	0	5	-8	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	7	5	1	1	+8	+5.7	16
2	Kristiansund	8	3	2	3	-2	-5.7	11
3	Tromso	5	3	1	1	+3	-0.5	10
4	Molde	6	3	1	2	+3	-0.9	10
5	Rosenborg	6	3	1	2	-2	-0.8	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.7	9
7	Brann	5	3	0	2	-1	+3.7	9
8	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+4	+2.1	7
9	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.9	7
10	Stromsgodset	5	2	0	3	-1	-4.0	6
11	Bryne	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.4	4
12	Fredrikstad	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.6	4
13	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-6	-4.5	4
14	Sandefjord	5	1	0	4	-6	-3.3	3
15	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-6	-1.1	2
16	Haugesund	6	0	0	6	-13	-15.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.