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Superligaen

Referee: J Hansen

Brondby

S T S S T

1–3

Full-time

Fredericia

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Fredericia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

1,5

3,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-2,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 41%

63%

19%

Points per game

1,9

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

44%

69%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,6

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,18 xG 1,41

64% Possession 36%

20 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

9 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 3. · Fredericia 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	17	11	4	2	+17	+14.5	37
2	Midtjylland	17	10	5	2	+27	+4.5	35
3	Brondby	16	10	1	5	+13	+8.7	31
4	FC Copenhagen	17	8	4	5	+6	+13.4	28
5	Sonderjyske	17	7	5	5	+3	-1.9	26
6	Viborg	17	7	2	8	+2	-2.2	23
7	Odense	17	6	5	6	-7	+4.5	23
8	Nordsjaelland	17	7	0	10	-8	-3.6	21
9	Randers FC	17	5	4	8	-6	+2.1	19
10	Silkeborg	17	5	4	8	-9	-11.7	19
11	Fredericia	16	3	2	11	-22	-16.2	11
12	Vejle	17	2	4	11	-16	-12.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	9	6	3	0	+19	+8.0	21
2	Aarhus	9	6	1	2	+8	+13.4	19
3	Sonderjyske	9	5	2	2	+6	+0.8	17
4	Brondby	8	5	1	2	+7	+4.3	16
5	Odense	9	4	2	3	-1	+5.4	14
6	FC Copenhagen	8	3	4	1	+3	+9.1	13
7	Viborg	8	4	0	4	+2	-2.9	12
8	Nordsjaelland	8	4	0	4	+2	+3.6	12
9	Silkeborg	9	3	2	4	-3	-2.2	11
10	Randers FC	8	3	2	3	-3	-1.1	11
11	Vejle	8	2	2	4	-1	-3.4	8
12	Fredericia	8	2	1	5	-10	-6.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	8	5	3	0	+9	+1.1	18
2	Brondby	8	5	0	3	+6	+4.4	15
3	FC Copenhagen	9	5	0	4	+3	+4.3	15
4	Midtjylland	8	4	2	2	+8	-3.6	14
5	Viborg	9	3	2	4	+0	+0.7	11
6	Sonderjyske	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.8	9
7	Odense	8	2	3	3	-6	-0.9	9
8	Nordsjaelland	9	3	0	6	-10	-7.2	9
9	Randers FC	9	2	2	5	-3	+3.3	8
10	Silkeborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-9.5	8
11	Fredericia	8	1	1	6	-12	-9.8	4
12	Vejle	9	0	2	7	-15	-8.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.