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Championship

Referee: L Doughty

Watford

U T T U S

2–2

Full-time

West Brom

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford West Brom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

0,89 xG 0,65

65% Possession 35%

12 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Watford 13. · West Brom 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Preston	7	6	1	0	+7	-1.1	19
2	Ipswich	7	6	0	1	+6	+3.3	18
3	Leicester	6	5	0	1	+6	+3.9	15
4	Norwich	6	4	1	1	+7	+4.2	13
5	Bristol City	7	3	3	1	+3	+4.2	12
6	Hull	6	3	2	1	+3	-2.3	11
7	Birmingham	7	3	2	2	+1	+4.3	11
8	Sunderland	6	3	1	2	+6	+4.7	10
9	Cardiff	7	3	1	3	+1	+1.5	10
10	Blackburn	6	3	1	2	-1	+1.1	10
11	Southampton	7	3	1	3	-6	-0.4	10
12	Leeds	6	2	3	1	+3	+2.0	9
13	Watford	6	2	2	2	+4	+2.2	8
14	West Brom	6	2	2	2	+1	-4.0	8
15	Coventry	7	1	4	2	+1	+0.9	7
16	Plymouth	7	2	1	4	-1	-3.2	7
17	Huddersfield	6	2	1	3	-4	-1.5	7
18	Millwall	6	2	1	3	-4	-5.4	7
19	QPR	7	2	1	4	-5	-5.2	7
20	Stoke	6	2	0	4	-2	+1.2	6
21	Rotherham	6	1	1	4	-6	-7.2	4
22	Swansea	7	0	3	4	-5	-1.3	3
23	Sheffield Weds	7	0	2	5	-6	-4.2	2
24	Middlesbrough	7	0	2	5	-9	+2.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Preston	4	4	0	0	+4	-1.1	12
2	Norwich	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.5	9
3	Cardiff	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.5	9
4	Watford	4	2	1	1	+5	+3.2	7
5	Birmingham	3	2	1	0	+2	+3.3	7
6	Sunderland	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.4	6
7	Plymouth	3	2	0	1	+4	-0.9	6
8	West Brom	3	2	0	1	+2	-1.6	6
9	Ipswich	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.9	6
10	Stoke	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.9	6
11	Blackburn	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.2	6
12	Leicester	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
13	Coventry	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.1	5
14	Hull	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.3	5
15	Bristol City	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.8	5
16	Rotherham	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.4	4
17	Southampton	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.9	4
18	Leeds	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.9	3
19	Huddersfield	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.4	3
20	Millwall	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.3	3
21	Swansea	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.4	2
22	Sheffield Weds	4	0	1	3	-3	-1.3	1
23	QPR	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.7	1
24	Middlesbrough	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ipswich	4	4	0	0	+4	+0.4	12
2	Leicester	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.5	9
3	Preston	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.0	7
4	Bristol City	3	2	1	0	+2	+3.5	7
5	Leeds	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.1	6
6	Hull	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.6	6
7	QPR	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.5	6
8	Southampton	3	2	0	1	-3	+0.5	6
9	Norwich	3	1	1	1	+3	+0.7	4
10	Sunderland	3	1	1	1	+1	+2.3	4
11	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.0	4
12	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.1	4
13	Millwall	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.1	4
14	Blackburn	3	1	1	1	-2	+1.3	4
15	West Brom	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.3	2
16	Coventry	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.2	2
17	Watford	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
18	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.9	1
19	Sheffield Weds	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.9	1
20	Swansea	4	0	1	3	-4	-0.9	1
21	Plymouth	4	0	1	3	-5	-2.3	1
22	Middlesbrough	4	0	1	3	-6	+1.2	1
23	Stoke	3	0	0	3	-4	-0.7	0
24	Rotherham	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.