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Champions League
Referee: E Eskås
Real Madrid
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Union Berlin
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,38 xG 0,21
75% Possession 25%
32 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 0
10 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
16 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Real Madrid Union Berlin
1′
🟨 Lucas Tousart
Aurélien Tchouaméni 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
F. Valverde 🔁
↦ A. Tchouaméni
66′
T. Kroos 🔁
↦ E. Camavinga
66′
66′
🔁 K. Volland
↦ K. Behrens
66′
🔁 B. Aaronson
↦ A. Laïdouni
Fran García 🔁
↦ Nacho
73′
Brahim Díaz 🔁
↦ L. Modrić
80′
80′
🔁 D. Fofana
↦ S. Becker
80′
🔁 P. Jaeckel
↦ L. Bonucci
83′
🔁 A. Kemlein
↦ L. Tousart
1–0 J. Bellingham ⚽
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-1-2
25 Kepa G
17 Lucas Vázquez D
22 A. Rüdiger D
6 Nacho D
4 D. Alaba D
10 L. Modrić M
18 A. Tchouaméni M
12 E. Camavinga M
5 J. Bellingham M
14 Joselu F
11 Rodrygo F
Bench (10)
15 F. Valverde
8 T. Kroos
20 Fran García
21 Brahim Díaz
23 F. Mendy
36 Vinícius Tobias
13 A. Lunin
31 Lucas Cañizares
19 Dani Ceballos
33 Gonzalo García

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Union Berlin

3-5-2
1 F. Rønnow G
5 D. Doekhi D
23 L. Bonucci D
4 Diogo Leite D
18 J. Juranović M
33 A. Král M
29 L. Tousart M
20 A. Laïdouni M
6 R. Gosens M
27 S. Becker F
17 K. Behrens F
Bench (9)
10 K. Volland
7 B. Aaronson
11 D. Fofana
3 P. Jaeckel
36 A. Kemlein
37 A. Schwolow
39 Y. Stein
28 C. Trimmel
26 J. Roussillon

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.