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Conference League
Referee: J Kooij
Lille
S T U S U
2–0
Full-time
Olimpija Ljubljana
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,87 xG 0,37
63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.