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Champions League
Referee: T Stieler
Sevilla
T T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Lens
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,62 xG 1,35
56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sevilla Lens
1–0 L. Ocampos
I. Rakitić
9′
14′
🟨 Facundo Medina
17′
🟨 Florian Sotoca
18′
🟨 Brice Samba
24′
A. Fulgini 1–1
30′
🟨 Angelo Fulgini
Nemanja Gudelj 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–1
D. Lukébakio 🔁
↦ É. Lamela
63′
B. Soumaré 🔁
↦ D. Sow
63′
Sergio Ramos 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 A. Diouf
↦ N. Mendy
71′
🔁 M. Guilavogui
↦ E. Wahi
Lucas Ocampos 🟨
73′
Suso 🔁
↦ I. Rakitić
74′
76′
🔁 A. Thomasson
↦ A. Fulgini
Jesús Navas 🔁
↦ Juanlu Sánchez
80′
M. Díaz 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
80′
85′
🔁 M. Haïdara
↦ D. Machado
90′
🟨 Massadio Haïdara
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 M. Dmitrović G
26 Juanlu Sánchez D
6 N. Gudelj D
4 Sergio Ramos D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
20 Fernando M
18 D. Sow M
17 É. Lamela M
10 I. Rakitić M
5 L. Ocampos M
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
11 D. Lukébakio
24 B. Soumaré
7 Suso
16 Jesús Navas
12 M. Díaz
8 Joan Jordán
27 Kike Salas
9 Rafa Mir
13 Ø. Nyland
22 L. Badé
2 F. Gattoni
21 Óliver Torres

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Lens

3-4-2-1
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
29 P. Frankowski M
6 S. Abdul Samed M
26 N. Mendy M
3 D. Machado M
7 F. Sotoca F
11 A. Fulgini F
9 E. Wahi F
Bench (11)
18 A. Diouf
27 M. Guilavogui
28 A. Thomasson
21 M. Haïdara
16 J. Leca
40 Y. Pandor
2 R. Aguilar
23 N. El Aynaoui
22 W. Saïd
20 F. Maouassa
25 A. Khusanov

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.