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Championship

Referee: G Scott

Norwich

S S S T S

0–2

Full-time

Leicester

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Leicester

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,81 xG 1,97

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 5. · Leicester 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Preston	7	6	1	0	+7	-1.1	19
2	Ipswich	7	6	0	1	+6	+3.3	18
3	Leicester	6	5	0	1	+6	+3.9	15
4	Sunderland	7	4	1	2	+8	+3.9	13
5	Norwich	6	4	1	1	+7	+4.2	13
6	Hull	7	3	3	1	+3	-2.8	12
7	Bristol City	7	3	3	1	+3	+4.2	12
8	Birmingham	7	3	2	2	+1	+4.3	11
9	Leeds	7	2	4	1	+3	+2.5	10
10	Cardiff	7	3	1	3	+1	+1.5	10
11	Millwall	7	3	1	3	-1	-4.3	10
12	Blackburn	7	3	1	3	-3	+1.9	10
13	Southampton	7	3	1	3	-6	-0.4	10
14	Watford	7	2	3	2	+4	+2.4	9
15	West Brom	7	2	3	2	+1	-4.2	9
16	Huddersfield	7	2	2	3	-4	-3.2	8
17	Coventry	7	1	4	2	+1	+0.9	7
18	Plymouth	7	2	1	4	-1	-3.2	7
19	Stoke	7	2	1	4	-2	+3.0	7
20	QPR	7	2	1	4	-5	-5.2	7
21	Rotherham	7	1	1	5	-9	-8.3	4
22	Swansea	7	0	3	4	-5	-1.3	3
23	Sheffield Weds	7	0	2	5	-6	-4.2	2
24	Middlesbrough	7	0	2	5	-9	+2.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Preston	4	4	0	0	+4	-1.1	12
2	Norwich	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.5	9
3	Cardiff	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.5	9
4	Watford	5	2	2	1	+5	+3.5	8
5	Birmingham	3	2	1	0	+2	+3.3	7
6	Sunderland	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.4	6
7	Plymouth	3	2	0	1	+4	-0.9	6
8	West Brom	3	2	0	1	+2	-1.6	6
9	Ipswich	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.9	6
10	Hull	4	1	3	0	+2	-0.2	6
11	Stoke	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.9	6
12	Leicester	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
13	Millwall	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.2	6
14	Blackburn	4	2	0	2	-1	+0.6	6
15	Coventry	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.1	5
16	Bristol City	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.8	5
17	Rotherham	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.4	4
18	Southampton	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.9	4
19	Huddersfield	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.1	4
20	Leeds	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.9	3
21	Swansea	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.4	2
22	Sheffield Weds	4	0	1	3	-3	-1.3	1
23	QPR	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.7	1
24	Middlesbrough	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ipswich	4	4	0	0	+4	+0.4	12
2	Leicester	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.5	9
3	Leeds	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.6	7
4	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.5	7
5	Preston	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.0	7
6	Bristol City	3	2	1	0	+2	+3.5	7
7	Hull	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.6	6
8	QPR	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.5	6
9	Southampton	3	2	0	1	-3	+0.5	6
10	Norwich	3	1	1	1	+3	+0.7	4
11	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.0	4
12	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.1	4
13	Millwall	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.1	4
14	Blackburn	3	1	1	1	-2	+1.3	4
15	West Brom	4	0	3	1	-1	-2.6	3
16	Coventry	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.2	2
17	Watford	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
18	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.9	1
19	Sheffield Weds	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.9	1
20	Swansea	4	0	1	3	-4	-0.9	1
21	Stoke	4	0	1	3	-4	+1.1	1
22	Plymouth	4	0	1	3	-5	-2.3	1
23	Middlesbrough	4	0	1	3	-6	+1.2	1
24	Rotherham	4	0	0	4	-9	-4.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.