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Champions League
Referee: G Nyberg
Bayern Munich
S S S S U
4–3
Full-time
Man United
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,46 xG 1,68
60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
26 S. Ulreich G
27 K. Laimer D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
19 A. Davies D
8 L. Goretzka M
6 J. Kimmich M
10 L. Sané M
42 J. Musiala M
7 S. Gnabry M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (10)
11 K. Coman
13 E. Choupo-Moting
39 M. Tel
25 T. Müller
4 M. de Ligt
48 M. Schmitt
40 N. Mazraoui
20 B. Sarr
18 Daniel Peretz
41 F. Krätzig

Coach: T. Tuchel

Man United

4-2-3-1
24 A. Onana G
20 Diogo Dalot D
2 V. Lindelöf D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
15 Sergio Reguilón D
18 Casemiro M
14 C. Eriksen M
28 F. Pellistri M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
10 M. Rashford M
11 R. Højlund F
Bench (10)
39 S. McTominay
17 A. Garnacho
9 A. Martial
62 O. Forson
1 A. Bayındır
44 D. Gore
35 J. Evans
40 R. Vítek
46 H. Mejbri
22 T. Heaton

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.