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Championship
Referee: T Robinson
West Brom
T U S S U
1–1
Full-time
Watford
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Watford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

70% Possession 30%
19 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 18. · Watford 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Sunderland 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Burnley 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Hull 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Sheffield United 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 QPR 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Millwall 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Stoke 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Reading 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Wigan 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Luton 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Preston 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Coventry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 West Brom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Middlesbrough 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 Norwich 2 0 1 1 -1 1
22 Swansea 2 0 1 1 -3 1
23 Bristol City 2 0 0 2 -2 0
24 Huddersfield 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Watford
12′
I. Sarr 0–1
C. Cathcart
Jayson Molumby 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 K. Ahearne-Grant
G. Diangana
47′
Darnell Furlong 🟨
69′
74′
🟨 Christian Kabasele
77′
🔁 Mario Gaspar
↦ H. Kamara
O. Yokuşlu 🔁
↦ J. Livermore
78′
83′
🔁 R. Manaj
↦ E. Dennis
83′
🔁 W. Troost-Ekong
↦ F. Sierralta
A. Reach 🔁
↦ G. Diangana
88′
M. Phillips 🔁
↦ D. Furlong
91′
95′
🔁 D. Gosling
↦ I. Sarr
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 D. Button G
2 D. Furlong D
6 S. Ajayi D
4 D. O'Shea D
3 C. Townsend D
14 J. Molumby M
8 J. Livermore M
17 J. Wallace M
19 J. Swift M
11 G. Diangana M
18 K. Ahearne-Grant F
Bench (7)
35 O. Yokuşlu
20 A. Reach
10 M. Phillips
27 A. Mowatt
24 A. Palmer
7 C. Robinson
5 K. Bartley

Coach: S. Bruce

Watford

3-4-1-2
1 D. Bachmann G
27 C. Kabasele D
31 F. Sierralta D
15 C. Cathcart D
14 H. Kamara M
8 T. Cleverley M
39 E. Kayembe M
12 K. Sema M
10 João Pedro F
23 I. Sarr F
25 E. Dennis F
Bench (7)
3 Mario Gaspar
9 R. Manaj
5 W. Troost-Ekong
16 D. Gosling
20 Domingos Quina
18 Y. Asprilla
26 B. Hamer

Coach: R. Edwards

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,39
U ✓
3,20
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.