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Champions League
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Sp Braga
S S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Napoli
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,28 xG 1,69
53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 10
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Braga Napoli
13′
🔁 L. Østigård
↦ Amir Rrahmani
19′
🟨 Frank Anguissa
34′
ℹ️ Victor Osimhen
VAR: Penalty cancelled
41′
🟨 Victor Osimhen
Álvaro Djaló 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
46′
⚽ G. Di Lorenzo 0–1
José Fonte 🟨
55′
56′
🟨 Matteo Politano
Cristián Borja 🟨
66′
66′
🔁 E. Elmas
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
R. Zalazar 🔁
↦ Vitor Carvalho
67′
67′
🔁 G. Raspadori
↦ M. Politano
S. Banza 🔁
↦ Álvaro Djaló
77′
79′
🟨 Giacomo Raspadori
1–1 Bruma ⚽
R. Zalazar
84′
Adrián Marín 🔁
↦ C. Borja
85′
Pizzi 🔁
↦ Abel Ruiz
85′
86′
🟨 Mathías Olivera
88′
⚽ S. Niakaté 2–1
own goal
90′
🔁 Natan
↦ P. Zieliński
90′
🔁 G. Simeone
↦ V. Osimhen
93′
🟨 Juan Jesus
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
2 Víctor Gómez D
6 José Fonte D
4 S. Niakaté D
26 C. Borja D
18 Vitor Carvalho M
8 Al Musrati M
14 Álvaro Djaló M
21 Ricardo Horta M
7 Bruma M
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (12)
16 R. Zalazar
23 S. Banza
19 Adrián Marín
22 Pizzi
91 L. Horníček
15 Paulo Oliveira
10 André Horta
20 Rony Lopes
88 Castro
5 S. Saatçı
28 João Moutinho
17 J. Mendes

Coach: Artur Jorge

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
5 Juan Jesus D
17 M. Olivera D
99 F. Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
20 P. Zieliński M
21 M. Politano F
9 V. Osimhen F
77 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (12)
55 L. Østigård
7 E. Elmas
81 G. Raspadori
3 Natan
18 G. Simeone
23 A. Zerbin
14 N. Contini-Baranovskyi
29 J. Lindstrøm
59 A. Zanoli
6 Mário Rui
16 H. Idasiak
70 G. Gaetano

Coach: R. Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.