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LaLiga2
Referee: Gorka Etayo Herrera
Santander
S U S U U
2–3
Full-time
Zaragoza
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 38%
55%
20%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
75%
40%
Both score Ø 68%
80%
55%
Average goals
3,6
2,5
Scored
2,2
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

71% Possession 29%
24 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 8
8 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 3
5 Offside 8
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Santander 1. · Zaragoza 22.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 20 11 5 4 +15 +0.2 38
2 Las Palmas 21 10 8 3 +13 -0.1 38
3 Almeria 21 10 6 5 +10 +0.9 36
4 La Coruna 21 9 7 5 +11 +2.7 34
5 Castellon 20 10 4 6 +9 +3.2 34
6 Cadiz 21 9 7 5 +2 -0.8 34
7 Burgos 21 9 5 7 +5 +2.5 32
8 Ceuta 20 9 5 6 +0 -4.0 32
9 Sp Gijon 21 9 3 9 -3 +1.2 30
10 Malaga 20 8 5 7 +4 -0.8 29
11 Cordoba 20 7 8 5 +2 +0.6 29
12 Valladolid 20 6 7 7 +1 +3.9 25
13 Andorra 21 6 7 8 -6 +1.0 25
14 Cultural Leonesa 21 7 4 10 -8 -7.8 25
15 Eibar 21 6 6 9 -3 +0.5 24
16 Albacete 21 6 6 9 -8 +1.3 24
17 Leganes 20 5 8 7 -1 +1.2 23
18 Sociedad B 21 6 5 10 -2 -1.2 23
19 Huesca 20 6 5 9 -9 +1.3 23
20 Granada 20 4 9 7 -4 -0.1 21
21 Mirandes 21 4 5 12 -13 -3.2 17
22 Zaragoza 20 4 5 11 -15 -2.8 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Zaragoza
4′
K. Kodro 0–1
21′
K. Kodro 0–2
Francho
Half-time 0–2
S. Camara 🔁
↦ J. Castro
46′
M. Lozano 🔁
↦ M. Gueye
46′
46′
🔁 M. Soberon
↦ K. Bare
54′
🟨 Kenan Kodro
54′
K. Kodro 0–3
D. Tasende
Alvaro Mantilla 🟨
59′
59′
🟨 Marcos Cuenca
D. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ P. Canales
65′
65′
🔁 A. Radovanovic
↦ P. Insua
65′
🔁 S. Bakis
↦ K. Kodro
69′
🔁 J. Sebastian
↦ A. Gomes
Marco Sangalli 🟨
72′
77′
🔁 C. Pomares
↦ D. Tasende
M. Garcia 🔁
↦ A. Mantilla
80′
D. Fuentes 🔁
↦ A. Martin
80′
1–3 G. Puerta
J. Salinas
82′
86′
🟥 Mario Soberón
2–3 M. Lozano
D. Fuentes
90′
91′
🟨 Esteban Andrada
Gustavo Puerta 🟨
92′
94′
🟨 Sinan Bakış
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ezkieta G
2 A. Mantilla D
5 J. Castro D
16 F. Gonzalez D
32 J. Salinas D
14 M. Gueye M
19 G. Puerta M
15 M. Sangalli M
18 P. Canales M
10 I. Vicente M
11 A. Martin F
Bench (11)
35 L. Gomez Rodriguez
3 M. Garcia
4 Manu
21 P. Ramon
8 A. Aldasoro
44 D. Fuentes
23 D. Rodriguez
6 I. Sainz-Maza
20 S. Camara
43 F. Santi
27 M. Lozano

Coach: José Alberto López Menéndez

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
1 E. Andrada G
36 A. Gomes D
4 P. Insua D
33 Y. Saidu D
3 D. Tasende D
10 R. Guti M
6 K. Bare M
14 Francho M
8 T. Moya M
23 M. A. Cuenca M
19 K. Kodro F
Bench (12)
13 A. Rodriguez
32 H. Barrachina
15 C. Pomares
16 A. Radovanovic
2 J. Sebastian
31 H. Pinilla
34 L. Terrer
12 S. Bakis
11 S. Bazdar
9 D. Gomez
17 F. Moyano
7 M. Soberon

Coach: Gabriel Fernández Arenas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,64
U
3,80
B ✓
4,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gorka Etayo Herrera · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.