Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aris
Panathinaikos
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos
|
24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +22 | 51 |
| 2 |
AEK
|
22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | +24 | 46 |
| 3 |
Panathinaikos
|
22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | +10 | 44 |
| 4 |
PAOK
|
24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | +17 | 41 |
| 5 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +6 | 39 |
| 6 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +3 | 34 |
| 7 |
Aris
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +3 | 34 |
| 8 |
OFI Crete
|
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 |
Panetolikos
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +0 | 32 |
| 10 |
Atromitos
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 |
Volos NFC
|
23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -18 | 24 |
| 12 |
Panserraikos
|
23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -11 | 22 |
| 13 |
Levadeiakos
|
22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |
Athens Kallithea
|
23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -16 | 15 |
| 15 |
Lamia
|
23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | -25 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Athens Kallithea
Aris
Lamia
Aris
Aris
PAOK
Olympiakos
Aris
Aris
OFI Crete
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.