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Super League
Aris
T T U S S
2–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 52%
48%
55%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
38%
27%
Both score Ø 47%
48%
45%
Average goals
2,2
1,9
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 7
16 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris 7. · Panathinaikos 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 24 15 6 3 +22 51
2 AEK 22 14 4 4 +24 46
3 Panathinaikos 22 12 8 2 +10 44
4 PAOK 24 12 5 7 +17 41
5 Asteras Tripolis 24 11 6 7 +6 39
6 Aris Thessalonikis 21 10 4 7 +3 34
7 Aris 21 10 4 7 +3 34
8 OFI Crete 24 9 6 9 -3 33
9 Panetolikos 23 9 5 9 +0 32
10 Atromitos 23 8 5 10 -1 29
11 Volos NFC 23 7 3 13 -18 24
12 Panserraikos 23 6 4 13 -11 22
13 Levadeiakos 22 3 9 10 -11 18
14 Athens Kallithea 23 2 9 12 -16 15
15 Lamia 23 1 6 16 -25 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,95
U
3,29
B
1,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.