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Copa del Rey

Referee: Pablo González

Santander

S T T T U

2–3

Full-time

Celta

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

0,5

2,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,0

6,5

Scored

2,5

6,0

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+5,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%

7 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 11

3 Offside 5

18 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Santander 17. · Celta 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Betis	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Elche	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Pontevedra	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Almeria	3	3	0	0	+5	9
7	Ath Madrid	3	3	0	0	+5	9
8	Ourense CF	3	3	0	0	+3	9
9	Getafe	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
11	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+6	6
12	Valladolid	3	2	0	1	+4	6
13	Las Palmas	3	2	0	1	+4	6
14	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+2	6
16	Barbastro	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Santander	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Huesca	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Cartagena	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Ferrol	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Marbella	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	UD Logroñés	3	1	2	0	+1	5
24	Deportiva Minera	2	1	1	0	+5	4
25	Zaragoza	2	1	1	0	+4	4
26	Girona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
27	Estepona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Granada	3	1	1	1	+1	4
29	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
30	Tenerife	3	1	1	1	+1	4
31	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
32	Castellon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
33	Zamora	2	1	1	0	+1	4
34	Orihuela	2	1	1	0	+1	4
35	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+5	3
36	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+4	3
37	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
38	Unionistas de Salamanca	2	1	0	1	+3	3
39	Burgos	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
41	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
42	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+2	3
43	Barakaldo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Cultural Leonesa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Europa Fc	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Gimnastic	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Parla Escuela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Conquense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Cacereño	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Manises	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Sant Andreu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	Ejea	2	1	0	1	-1	3
58	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
59	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
61	Ponferradina	2	0	2	0	+0	2
62	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Olot	2	0	1	1	-2	1
70	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
71	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
72	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
73	Ontiñena	2	0	1	1	-7	1
74	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
119	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
121	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
122	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
123	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
124	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pontevedra	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Barbastro	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	UD Logroñés	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Estepona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Europa Fc	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Marbella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Conquense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Cacereño	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Sant Andreu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Ejea	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
20	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
21	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Deportiva Minera	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Zamora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Olot	2	0	1	1	-2	1
29	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
30	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
31	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
32	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Tenerife	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Cultural Leonesa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Barakaldo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Granada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Huesca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Parla Escuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Manises	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
77	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
78	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
79	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
80	Ontiñena	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Betis	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Ath Madrid	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Getafe	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
7	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Valladolid	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Las Palmas	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Ferrol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Cartagena	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Girona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
19	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	4
20	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Castellon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
25	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
26	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+4	3
27	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Burgos	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.