Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Las Palmas
Zaragoza
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Espanol
|
39 | 23 | 9 | 7 | +41 | 78 |
| 2 |
Mallorca
|
38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | +22 | 72 |
| 3 |
Almeria
|
38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +19 | 66 |
| 4 |
Leganes
|
38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | +10 | 63 |
| 5 |
Sp Gijon
|
38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | +11 | 61 |
| 6 |
Girona
|
38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | +8 | 61 |
| 7 |
Vallecano
|
38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | +7 | 58 |
| 8 |
Ponferradina
|
39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | +0 | 56 |
| 9 |
Mirandes
|
39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | -1 | 52 |
| 10 |
Fuenlabrada
|
38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | +0 | 50 |
| 11 |
Las Palmas
|
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -6 | 50 |
| 12 |
Malaga
|
38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | -10 | 50 |
| 13 |
Oviedo
|
38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 14 |
Tenerife
|
38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | -1 | 47 |
| 15 |
Cartagena
|
39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | -8 | 45 |
| 16 |
Alcorcon
|
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 43 |
| 17 |
Zaragoza
|
38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | -8 | 42 |
| 18 |
Castellon
|
39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Logrones | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -21 | 41 |
| 20 |
Sabadell
|
38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | -8 | 40 |
| 21 |
Lugo
|
39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 |
Albacete
|
38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | -21 | 36 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Alcorcon
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Ponferradina
Espanol
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Malaga
Oviedo
Las Palmas
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.