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2. Bundesliga
Ingolstadt
T T T S U
0–1
Full-time
Paderborn
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ingolstadt Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 24%
14%
34%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 60%
48%
72%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ingolstadt 17. · Paderborn 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Schalke 04 29 16 5 8 +25 53
2 St Pauli 30 15 8 7 +15 53
3 Werder Bremen 29 15 8 6 +15 53
4 Darmstadt 29 15 6 8 +19 51
5 Nurnberg 29 14 7 8 +6 49
6 Hamburg 30 12 12 6 +24 48
7 Heidenheim 29 13 6 10 -2 45
8 Paderborn 29 10 11 8 +9 41
9 Karlsruhe 30 9 12 9 +3 39
10 Regensburg 29 10 8 11 +5 38
11 Holstein Kiel 30 10 8 12 -10 38
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 30 9 10 11 +2 37
13 Hansa Rostock 29 10 7 12 -10 37
14 Hannover 30 9 9 12 -13 36
15 Sandhausen 30 8 11 11 -13 35
16 Dresden 30 7 8 15 -12 29
17 Ingolstadt 29 4 7 18 -29 19
18 Erzgebirge Aue 29 4 7 18 -34 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -21 Paderborn – Ingolstadt 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,95
U
3,56
B ✓
2,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.