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LaLiga2

Alcorcon

T T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Lugo

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,2

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 30%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

18%

42%

Both score Ø 26%

42%

Average goals

1,4

2,3

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

15 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 1

3 Corners 3

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alcorcon 22. · Lugo 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	12	8	3	1	+14	27
2	Mallorca	12	7	4	1	+11	25
3	Sp Gijon	12	7	2	3	+5	23
4	Leganes	12	7	1	4	+3	22
5	Almeria	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Lugo	12	6	1	5	+1	19
7	Fuenlabrada	12	4	6	2	+2	18
8	Malaga	12	5	3	4	-6	18
9	Vallecano	12	5	2	5	+2	17
10	Logrones	11	5	2	4	+1	17
11	Las Palmas	12	4	5	3	+0	17
12	Oviedo	12	4	4	4	+2	16
13	Mirandes	12	4	4	4	+0	16
14	Ponferradina	12	5	1	6	-4	16
15	Cartagena	12	4	3	5	+2	15
16	Girona	11	4	3	4	-3	15
17	Tenerife	12	3	4	5	-3	13
18	Castellon	12	3	2	7	-6	11
19	Albacete	12	2	4	6	-6	10
20	Zaragoza	11	1	5	5	-4	8
21	Sabadell	11	2	1	8	-7	7
22	Alcorcon	11	1	2	8	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Espanol	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Sp Gijon	6	4	2	0	+5	14
4	Mallorca	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Las Palmas	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	Vallecano	5	4	0	1	+7	12
7	Lugo	6	4	0	2	+3	12
8	Tenerife	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Cartagena	6	3	1	2	+4	10
10	Fuenlabrada	6	2	4	0	+3	10
11	Logrones	6	3	1	2	+1	10
12	Albacete	6	2	3	1	+2	9
13	Mirandes	6	2	3	1	+1	9
14	Almeria	5	2	2	1	+3	8
15	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	+2	8
16	Malaga	5	2	2	1	-1	8
17	Girona	5	2	1	2	+0	7
18	Zaragoza	7	1	4	2	-1	7
19	Ponferradina	6	2	1	3	-2	7
20	Castellon	6	2	0	4	-1	6
21	Alcorcon	6	1	1	4	-5	4
22	Sabadell	5	1	0	4	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	6	3	3	0	+4	12
2	Almeria	6	4	0	2	+2	12
3	Espanol	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Malaga	7	3	1	3	-5	10
5	Sp Gijon	6	3	0	3	+0	9
6	Ponferradina	6	3	0	3	-2	9
7	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Fuenlabrada	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Girona	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Logrones	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Mirandes	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Lugo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Cartagena	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Castellon	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Vallecano	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Sabadell	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Leganes	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Las Palmas	6	0	4	2	-4	4
19	Tenerife	6	0	2	4	-6	2
20	Zaragoza	4	0	1	3	-3	1
21	Alcorcon	5	0	1	4	-4	1
22	Albacete	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.