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LaLiga2
Leganes
U T U U T
3–2
Full-time
Lugo
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,0
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 42%
48%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
29%
27%
Both score Ø 35%
33%
36%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

10 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 2
13 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 6. · Lugo 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mallorca 23 14 6 3 +21 48
2 Espanol 23 14 3 6 +20 45
3 Almeria 22 14 3 5 +15 45
4 Vallecano 23 12 4 7 +8 40
5 Sp Gijon 23 10 7 6 +4 37
6 Leganes 21 10 4 7 +4 34
7 Ponferradina 23 10 4 9 -2 34
8 Mirandes 23 9 6 8 +4 33
9 Girona 23 9 6 8 -1 33
10 Las Palmas 23 8 8 7 -4 32
11 Lugo 22 8 7 7 +2 31
12 Malaga 23 8 7 8 -8 31
13 Fuenlabrada 23 6 11 6 -1 29
14 Oviedo 23 6 10 7 +2 28
15 Logrones 22 8 4 10 -8 28
16 Tenerife 23 7 6 10 -3 27
17 Albacete 23 6 6 11 -11 24
18 Castellon 23 6 4 13 -10 22
19 Sabadell 22 5 6 11 -7 21
20 Zaragoza 23 5 6 12 -7 21
21 Alcorcon 23 5 6 12 -8 21
22 Cartagena 23 5 6 12 -10 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Sep -20 Lugo – Leganes 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,34
B
4,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,67
U2,5
1,45
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.