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Serie B

Referee: G Ayroldi

Palermo

S U S S T

2–1

Full-time

Mantova

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 39%

52%

26%

Points per game

1,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 49%

41%

56%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,48 xG 1,05

54% Possession 46%

17 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 2

0 Offside 4

23 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Palermo 4. · Mantova 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Venezia	28	18	6	4	+33	+24.2	60
2	Monza	28	18	6	4	+23	+12.8	60
3	Frosinone	27	15	9	3	+24	+5.2	54
4	Palermo	27	14	9	4	+25	+8.6	51
5	Catanzaro	28	12	10	6	+10	+0.7	46
6	Modena	28	12	7	9	+13	+7.2	43
7	Juve Stabia	27	9	12	6	+0	+2.6	39
8	Cesena	28	11	5	12	-5	+4.7	38
9	Sudtirol	28	8	13	7	+3	-2.5	37
10	Padova	28	8	10	10	-5	-5.8	34
11	Carrarese	28	7	11	10	-5	-8.8	32
12	Empoli	27	7	10	10	-4	+1.9	31
13	Avellino	28	7	9	12	-16	-15.9	30
14	Sampdoria	27	7	8	12	-8	+1.6	29
15	Reggiana	28	7	8	13	-11	-4.8	29
16	Virtus Entella	28	6	10	12	-14	-11.3	28
17	Mantova	27	7	6	14	-15	-0.5	27
18	Spezia	28	6	8	14	-12	-0.6	26
19	Bari	27	5	10	12	-16	-14.5	25
20	Pescara	27	4	9	14	-20	-4.8	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Venezia	14	12	0	2	+22	+11.9	36
2	Monza	14	11	2	1	+16	+9.5	35
3	Palermo	14	10	3	1	+20	+5.8	33
4	Catanzaro	14	7	6	1	+9	+1.5	27
5	Frosinone	12	7	3	2	+13	+2.3	24
6	Juve Stabia	13	6	6	1	+7	+3.2	24
7	Virtus Entella	14	6	6	2	+5	-3.6	24
8	Sampdoria	14	6	4	4	+2	+3.6	22
9	Modena	14	6	3	5	+7	-0.9	21
10	Carrarese	14	5	6	3	+6	+1.6	21
11	Sudtirol	13	5	4	4	+4	-2.9	19
12	Avellino	14	5	4	5	-4	-8.1	19
13	Empoli	15	3	9	3	+4	+4.4	18
14	Cesena	14	5	3	6	-2	+4.5	18
15	Mantova	14	5	3	6	-6	+1.3	18
16	Reggiana	14	4	5	5	-3	-1.9	17
17	Padova	14	3	7	4	-1	-4.8	16
18	Pescara	14	3	5	6	-4	-3.8	14
19	Bari	13	3	5	5	-4	-8.5	14
20	Spezia	14	3	4	7	-8	-1.1	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Frosinone	15	8	6	1	+11	+2.9	30
2	Monza	14	7	4	3	+7	+3.2	25
3	Venezia	14	6	6	2	+11	+12.3	24
4	Modena	14	6	4	4	+6	+8.1	22
5	Cesena	14	6	2	6	-3	+0.2	20
6	Catanzaro	14	5	4	5	+1	-0.8	19
7	Palermo	13	4	6	3	+5	+2.8	18
8	Sudtirol	15	3	9	3	-1	+0.5	18
9	Padova	14	5	3	6	-4	-1.0	18
10	Juve Stabia	14	3	6	5	-7	-0.6	15
11	Spezia	14	3	4	7	-4	+0.5	13
12	Empoli	12	4	1	7	-8	-2.5	13
13	Reggiana	14	3	3	8	-8	-2.9	12
14	Carrarese	14	2	5	7	-11	-10.4	11
15	Avellino	14	2	5	7	-12	-7.8	11
16	Bari	14	2	5	7	-12	-6.0	11
17	Mantova	13	2	3	8	-9	-1.8	9
18	Sampdoria	13	1	4	8	-10	-2.0	7
19	Pescara	13	1	4	8	-16	-1.0	7
20	Virtus Entella	14	0	4	10	-19	-7.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.