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Coppa Italia

Referee: G Manganiello

Lazio

U U T U T

2–2

Full-time

Atalanta

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Coppa Italia · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

3,5

Conceded

0,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+3,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

6 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lazio 12. · Atalanta 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Torino	4	3	0	1	+2	9
3	Inter	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Milan	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Udinese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Cagliari	3	1	2	0	+3	5
9	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Parma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Venezia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Juventus	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Pescara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
22	Napoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
23	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
24	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
30	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
31	Roma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Cagliari	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Parma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Napoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Roma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
3	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
4	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-2	3
5	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Juventus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.