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Serie B

Referee: F Cosso

Sudtirol

T T T T T

2–2

Full-time

Mantova

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

0,3

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

63%

31%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

29% Possession 71%

11 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 27

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sudtirol 20. · Mantova 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	16	11	4	1	+23	37
2	Pisa	17	10	5	2	+13	35
3	Spezia	16	9	6	1	+17	33
4	Cremonese	16	7	3	6	+4	24
5	Bari	17	5	9	3	+4	24
6	Cesena	16	6	4	6	+2	22
7	Juve Stabia	16	5	7	4	-2	22
8	Palermo	16	5	6	5	+3	21
9	Catanzaro	16	3	11	2	+3	20
10	Cosenza	16	4	8	4	-1	20
11	Brescia	16	5	4	7	-3	19
12	Carrarese	16	5	4	7	-5	19
13	Reggiana	16	4	6	6	-2	18
14	Mantova	16	4	6	6	-4	18
15	Modena	16	3	8	5	-1	17
16	Sampdoria	16	4	5	7	-6	17
17	Salernitana	16	4	5	7	-6	17
18	Frosinone	16	3	7	6	-9	16
19	Cittadella	16	3	5	8	-16	14
20	Sudtirol	16	4	1	11	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spezia	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Pisa	9	6	3	0	+11	21
3	Sassuolo	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	Cesena	8	5	2	1	+6	17
5	Carrarese	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Mantova	8	4	3	1	+3	15
7	Catanzaro	9	3	5	1	+5	14
8	Bari	9	3	5	1	+2	14
9	Modena	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Brescia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Salernitana	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Juve Stabia	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Cremonese	8	3	2	3	-2	11
14	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Palermo	7	2	3	2	+2	9
16	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Sampdoria	7	2	2	3	-1	8
18	Frosinone	8	1	5	2	-3	8
19	Sudtirol	8	2	1	5	-7	7
20	Cittadella	7	0	5	2	-3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	Pisa	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Cremonese	8	4	1	3	+6	13
4	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
5	Spezia	8	2	5	1	+3	11
6	Juve Stabia	8	2	5	1	+0	11
7	Bari	8	2	4	2	+2	10
8	Cosenza	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Sampdoria	9	2	3	4	-5	9
11	Cittadella	9	3	0	6	-13	9
12	Brescia	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Frosinone	8	2	2	4	-6	8
14	Catanzaro	7	0	6	1	-2	6
15	Salernitana	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Sudtirol	8	2	0	6	-7	6
17	Cesena	8	1	2	5	-4	5
18	Modena	8	0	5	3	-4	5
19	Carrarese	8	1	1	6	-10	4
20	Mantova	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.