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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Young Boys
U S T S T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,33 xG 1,79
47% Possession 53%
22 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Young Boys FK Crvena Zvezda
0–1 K. Nedeljković
own goal
8′
1–1 L. Blum
M. Camara
29′
Half-time 1–1
E. Colley 🔁
↦ D. Males
46′
46′
🔁 J. Mijatović
↦ C. Ndiaye
59′
🔁 J. Krasso
↦ M. Ivanić
59′
🔁 V. Lučić
↦ M. Stamenić
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ J. Nsame
74′
M. Chaiwa 🔁
↦ Joël Monteiro
74′
83′
🔁 A. Katai
↦ S. Mijailović
90′
🔁 G. Kanga
↦ Hwang In-Beom
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-4-2
1 A. Racioppi G
27 L. Blum D
13 M. Camara D
23 L. Benito D
21 U. Garcia D
39 D. Males M
7 F. Ugrinic M
20 C. Niasse M
77 Joël Monteiro M
15 M. Elia F
18 J. Nsame F
Bench (11)
11 E. Colley
35 S. Ganvoula
14 M. Chaiwa
28 F. Lustenberger
4 A. Amenda
8 Ł. Łakomy
22 D. Rrudhani
26 D. von Ballmoos
17 S. Janko
40 D. Marzino
19 N. Persson

Coach: R. Wicky

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-3-1-2
18 O. Glazer G
2 K. Nedeljković D
24 N. Djiga D
15 A. Dragović D
23 M. Rodić D
6 M. Stamenić M
33 S. Mijailović M
66 Hwang In-Beom M
4 M. Ivanić M
9 C. Ndiaye F
30 O. Bukari F
Bench (12)
22 J. Mijatović
17 J. Krasso
37 V. Lučić
10 A. Katai
8 G. Kanga
5 U. Spajić
20 K. Kangwa
3 M. Degenek
80 S. Mitrović
70 U. Kabić
1 Z. Popović
14 P. Olayinka

Coach: B. Bakhar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.