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Champions League
Referee: B Frankowski
Shakhtar Donetsk
T T S T S
1–0
Full-time
Antwerp
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,05 xG 1,09
43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 9
6 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -23 Antwerp – Shakhtar Donetsk 2–3

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Antwerp
1–0 M. Matviienko ⚽
O. Zubkov
12′
30′
🟨 Soumaila Coulibaly
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Gyrano Kerk
46′
🔁 C. Ejuke
↦ G. Kerk
A. Bondarenko 🔁
↦ Newerton
70′
73′
🔁 G. Ilenikhena
↦ A. Yusuf
Giorgi Gocholeishvili 🟨
83′
K. Kelsy 🔁
↦ D. Kryskiv
89′
94′
🟨 Arbnor Muja
Y. Rakitskyi 🔁
↦ D. Sikan
96′
Dmytro Riznyk 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Arbnor Muja
97′
🟥 Arbnor Muja
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
13 G. Gocholeishvili D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
16 I. Azarovi D
6 T. Stepanenko M
11 O. Zubkov M
8 D. Kryskiv M
10 H. Sudakov M
39 Newerton M
14 D. Sikan F
Bench (12)
21 A. Bondarenko
18 K. Kelsy
44 Y. Rakitskyi
32 E. Kozik
23 Pedrinho
20 D. Topalov
90 O. Kashchuk
1 A. Rudko
4 D. Castillo
3 S. Lemkin
27 O. Ocheretko
7 Eguinaldo

Coach: M. Pusic

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
34 J. Bataille D
23 T. Alderweireld D
44 S. Coulibaly D
5 O. Wijndal D
48 A. Vermeeren M
8 A. Yusuf M
7 G. Kerk M
10 M. Balikwisha M
11 A. Muja M
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (7)
19 C. Ejuke
9 G. Ilenikhena
46 M. Smits
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
52 K. Corbanie
81 N. Devalckeneer
91 S. Lammens

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Frankowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.