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Serie B

Monza

U S S S T

2–2

Full-time

Perugia

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

39%

22%

Both score Ø 56%

61%

50%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 3

14 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monza 7. · Perugia 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	19	11	5	3	+12	38
2	Brescia	19	11	4	4	+12	37
3	Cremonese	19	10	5	4	+12	35
4	Benevento	18	10	4	4	+15	34
5	Lecce	17	8	7	2	+14	31
6	Frosinone	19	7	10	2	+13	31
7	Monza	18	8	7	3	+6	31
8	Cittadella	18	8	5	5	+3	29
9	Ascoli	19	8	5	6	+0	29
10	Perugia	18	6	9	3	+3	27
11	Como	19	6	7	6	+1	25
12	Parma	18	5	8	5	+0	23
13	Ternana	19	6	5	8	-2	23
14	Reggina	19	6	5	8	-10	23
15	Spal	18	5	5	8	-4	20
16	Alessandria	18	5	2	11	-10	17
17	Cosenza	18	4	4	10	-14	16
18	Crotone	18	2	5	11	-12	11
19	Pordenone	18	1	5	12	-22	8
20	Vicenza	17	2	1	14	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	8	7	1	0	+10	22
2	Pisa	10	6	3	1	+6	21
3	Benevento	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Cremonese	10	5	4	1	+7	19
5	Lecce	8	5	3	0	+12	18
6	Cittadella	9	5	2	2	+6	17
7	Frosinone	10	3	6	1	+5	15
8	Perugia	9	3	4	2	+1	13
9	Cosenza	9	4	1	4	+0	13
10	Ternana	10	4	1	5	-1	13
11	Como	9	3	3	3	+2	12
12	Brescia	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Reggina	10	3	2	5	-6	11
14	Parma	8	2	4	2	+0	10
15	Crotone	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Alessandria	9	3	1	5	-6	10
17	Spal	9	2	3	4	+0	9
18	Ascoli	9	2	3	4	-5	9
19	Pordenone	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Vicenza	8	0	1	7	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	10	8	1	1	+11	25
2	Ascoli	10	6	2	2	+5	20
3	Pisa	9	5	2	2	+6	17
4	Frosinone	9	4	4	1	+8	16
5	Cremonese	9	5	1	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	8	4	2	2	+5	14
7	Perugia	9	3	5	1	+2	14
8	Lecce	9	3	4	2	+2	13
9	Parma	10	3	4	3	+0	13
10	Como	10	3	4	3	-1	13
11	Cittadella	9	3	3	3	-3	12
12	Reggina	9	3	3	3	-4	12
13	Spal	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Ternana	9	2	4	3	-1	10
15	Monza	10	1	6	3	-4	9
16	Alessandria	9	2	1	6	-4	7
17	Vicenza	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	Cosenza	9	0	3	6	-14	3
19	Pordenone	9	0	2	7	-14	2
20	Crotone	8	0	1	7	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.