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Serie B
Ascoli
U T S S S
2–0
Full-time
Empoli
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 38%
26%
50%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
38%
47%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
59%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 8
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 16. · Empoli 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Empoli 34 17 16 1 +32 67
2 Lecce 34 16 13 5 +25 61
3 Salernitana 34 16 12 6 +8 60
4 Monza 34 14 13 7 +14 55
5 Venezia 34 14 11 9 +12 53
6 Cittadella 34 13 11 10 +12 50
7 Spal 34 12 14 8 +3 50
8 Chievo 34 12 13 9 +10 49
9 Reggina 34 12 11 11 +1 47
10 Brescia 34 11 11 12 +0 44
11 Pisa 34 10 14 10 -3 44
12 Cremonese 34 11 10 13 +0 43
13 Pordenone 34 9 14 11 +1 41
14 Vicenza 34 9 14 11 -4 41
15 Frosinone 34 9 13 12 -11 40
16 Ascoli 34 9 10 15 -12 37
17 Cosenza 34 5 17 12 -12 32
18 Reggiana 34 8 7 19 -24 31
19 Pescara 34 6 11 17 -23 29
20 Virtus Entella 34 4 11 19 -29 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,98
U
3,46
B
1,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.