Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Cosenza
Ascoli
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Empoli
|
30 | 15 | 14 | 1 | +29 | 59 |
| 2 |
Lecce
|
30 | 13 | 13 | 4 | +22 | 52 |
| 3 |
Salernitana
|
30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | +5 | 51 |
| 4 |
Monza
|
30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 5 |
Venezia
|
30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +12 | 49 |
| 6 |
Cittadella
|
30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +12 | 45 |
| 7 |
Spal
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +3 | 45 |
| 8 |
Chievo
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 9 |
Pisa
|
29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 |
Brescia
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 |
Vicenza
|
30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | +0 | 38 |
| 12 |
Frosinone
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -8 | 38 |
| 13 |
Reggina
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -5 | 37 |
| 14 |
Cremonese
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -1 | 36 |
| 15 | Pordenone | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | +0 | 34 |
| 16 |
Cosenza
|
30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | -6 | 29 |
| 17 |
Reggiana
|
30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 |
Ascoli
|
30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -14 | 28 |
| 19 |
Pescara
|
30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -25 | 23 |
| 20 |
Virtus Entella
|
30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -23 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Reggiana
Cosenza
Cosenza
Vicenza
Salernitana
Cosenza
Cosenza
Frosinone
Brescia
Cosenza
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.