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Ligue 2
Referee: Remi Landry
Guingamp
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Boulogne
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Boulogne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
0,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 13. · Boulogne 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Metz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Red Star 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Montpellier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Reims 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Nancy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Guingamp 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Nantes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Pau FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Grenoble 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Laval 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Sochaux 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Boulogne
Tom Ducrocq 🟨
12′
Half-time 0–0
V. Muntu Wa Mungu 🔁
↦ A. Abdallah
72′
S. Ben Brahim 🔁
↦ T. Averlant
72′
A. Samoura 🔁
↦ F. Sanchez Da Silva
72′
72′
🔁 C. I. Dia
↦ B. Besic
T. Ahile 🔁
↦ T. Ducrocq
75′
77′
🟨 Cheikh Dia
J. Chamakh 🔁
↦ A. Hemia
78′
78′
🔁 A. Pinot
↦ A. Platret
78′
🔁 T. Epailly
↦ J. Bultel
1–0 S. Kielt
86′
90′
🔁 A. Nassiri
↦ T. Brusco
95′
🟨 Abdel Hbouch
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
2 E. Koffi D
7 D. Gomis D
36 A. Demouchy D
29 A. Abdallah D
11 T. Averlant M
4 D. Louiserre M
25 T. Ducrocq M
8 F. Sanchez Da Silva M
10 A. Hemia F
18 S. Kielt F
Bench (9)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
39 V. Muntu Wa Mungu
24 J. Dianganga
3 J. Matumona
23 J. Chamakh
21 T. Ahile
38 E. Aucan
20 S. Ben Brahim
17 A. Samoura

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Boulogne

5-3-2
99 B. Noukeu G
21 A. Platret D
18 D. Thiam D
25 A. Kerriou D
20 T. Brusco D
12 J. Boyer D
19 N. Binet M
8 J. Martin M
14 J. Bultel M
17 B. Besic F
10 A. Hbouch F
Bench (8)
1 X. Lenogue
15 A. Pinot
26 O. Lenne
4 J. Kapenga
28 S. Paillard
7 A. Nassiri
64 T. Epailly
35 C. I. Dia

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
3,49
B
4,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.