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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Boulogne
S U U U T
2–6
Full-time
Dunkerque
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
42%
52%
Both score Ø 53%
45%
61%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boulogne 12. · Dunkerque 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 32 19 7 6 +24 64
2 Le Mans 32 15 13 4 +17 58
3 St Etienne 32 17 6 9 +17 57
4 Reims 32 13 13 6 +16 52
5 Rodez 32 13 13 6 +4 52
6 Red Star 31 14 9 8 +6 51
7 Montpellier 32 14 8 10 +11 50
8 Annecy 32 14 7 11 +10 49
9 Pau FC 32 12 9 11 -10 45
10 Dunkerque 31 10 10 11 +6 40
11 Guingamp 32 10 10 12 -5 40
12 Boulogne 31 9 9 13 -9 36
13 Grenoble 32 6 15 11 -8 33
14 Clermont 32 7 10 15 -8 31
15 Nancy 32 7 10 15 -20 31
16 Laval 32 5 14 13 -15 29
17 Bastia 31 4 13 14 -15 25
18 Amiens 32 6 6 20 -21 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boulogne Dunkerque
1–0 A. Pinot
N. Fatar
8′
13′
T. Robinet 1–1
E. Bardeli
17′
🟨 Allan Linguet
37′
V. Sasso 1–2
M. Essimi
Half-time 1–2
Noah Fatar 🟨
50′
64′
V. Sasso 1–3
65′
🔁 Z. Seha
↦ A. Zossou
Demba Thiam 🟥
67′
2–3 M. Lecolier
N. Binet
72′
N. Zohore 🔁
↦ S. Duflos
73′
C. Fatou 🔁
↦ M. Lecolier
73′
V. Burlet 🔁
↦ J. Boyer
74′
J. Bultel 🔁
↦ A. El Farissi
74′
77′
🔁 T. Massock
↦ A. Linguet
78′
🔁 E. Sylvestre
↦ M. Essimi
81′
T. Robinet 2–4
T. Massock
A. Platret 🔁
↦ N. Fatar
82′
86′
🔁 M. Makhloufi
↦ E. Bardeli
87′
🔁 A. Kante
↦ T. Robinet
90′
T. Massock 2–5
Z. Seha
90′
M. Makhloufi 2–6
P. Diong
Full-time 2–6

Line-ups

Boulogne

4-1-4-1
99 B. Noukeu G
18 D. Thiam D
25 S. Gourville D
15 A. Pinot D
12 J. Boyer D
90 J. Martin M
10 A. El Farissi M
22 S. Duflos M
19 N. Binet M
23 N. Fatar M
9 M. Lecolier F
Bench (7)
16 I. Kone
3 V. Burlet
28 S. Paillard
5 N. Zohore
17 C. Fatou
14 J. Bultel
21 A. Platret

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
1 M. Lavin G
27 A. Linguet D
26 O. Sangante D
23 V. Sasso D
22 V. Mayela D
6 P. Diong M
10 M. Essimi M
2 A. Georgen M
20 E. Bardeli M
77 A. Zossou M
9 T. Robinet F
Bench (7)
36 M. Sissokho
19 A. Kante
11 A. Daho
57 Z. Seha
7 E. Sylvestre
42 M. Makhloufi
87 T. Massock

Coach: Albert Sanchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,72
U
3,08
B ✓
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.