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Ligue 2
Referee: Gabriel Henry
Dijon
T S S U U
0–1
Full-time
Pau FC
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
16 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 8. · Pau FC 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Metz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Red Star 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Montpellier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Reims 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Nancy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Guingamp 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Nantes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Pau FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Grenoble 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Laval 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Sochaux 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Pau FC
Half-time 0–0
T. Dong 🔁
↦ Y. Barka
46′
58′
🔁 L. Rajot
↦ T. Saettel
58′
🔁 B. Leye
↦ A. Lefebvre
58′
🔁 H. Benali
↦ G. Versini
61′
B. Leye 0–1
L. Rajot
S. Chouchane 🔁
↦ M. Barreto
62′
A. Lembezat 🔁
↦ J. Marie
62′
67′
🟨 Axel Bamba
J. Tavares 🔁
↦ A. Ntamack
73′
79′
🔁 L. Gadegbeku
↦ J. Benet
80′
🟨 Lorenzo Rajot
H. Mimoune 🔁
↦ Y. Aka
88′
88′
🔁 M. Tourraine
↦ J. Kalulu
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Dijon

4-1-3-2
16 P. Delecroix G
93 I. Bouleghcha D
23 L. Lacroix D
5 Q. Bernard D
42 Y. Aka D
8 P. Bellon M
14 J. Marie M
4 M. Barreto M
18 B. Ndezi M
29 A. Ntamack F
10 Y. Barka F
Bench (9)
46 I. Marie-Rose
15 A. Bargain
6 W. Diouf
20 H. Vargas-Rios
21 S. Chouchane
17 A. Lembezat
30 H. Mimoune
11 J. Tavares
9 T. Dong

Coach: Baptiste Ridira

Pau FC

5-3-2
1 B. Maubleu G
2 T. Pouilly D
4 A. Dodote D
88 A. Bamba D
29 G. Paquiez D
3 J. Kalulu D
6 C. Fall M
21 J. Benet M
19 T. Saettel M
10 G. Versini F
11 A. Lefebvre F
Bench (9)
30 E. Salles
23 A. Briancon
39 M. Tourraine
8 S. Basse
27 L. Gadegbeku
5 L. Rajot
9 B. Leye
7 H. Benali
14 R. Openda

Coach: Thierry Debes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,20
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.