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Ligue 2
Referee: Faouzi Benchabane
Rodez
T S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Dunkerque
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
29%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 13. · Dunkerque 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 14 8 4 2 +12 28
2 Red Star 14 8 3 3 +6 27
3 St Etienne 14 8 2 4 +10 26
4 Montpellier 14 7 3 4 +5 24
5 Pau FC 14 6 5 3 -1 23
6 Reims 14 6 4 4 +6 22
7 Le Mans 14 5 6 3 +2 21
8 Dunkerque 14 5 5 4 +8 20
9 Guingamp 14 5 5 4 -2 20
10 Grenoble 14 4 5 5 -1 17
11 Clermont 14 4 5 5 -4 17
12 Annecy 14 4 4 6 +0 16
13 Rodez 14 4 4 6 -6 16
14 Amiens 14 4 3 7 -4 15
15 Nancy 14 4 3 7 -6 15
16 Laval 13 2 6 5 -5 12
17 Boulogne 14 3 3 8 -9 12
18 Bastia 13 1 4 8 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Dunkerque
30′
T. Robinet 0–1
V. Sasso
Nolan Galves 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
Clément Jolibois 🟨
47′
S. Benchamma 🔁
↦ O. Joly
61′
R. Ponti 🔁
↦ E. Jean-Lambert
62′
1–1 R. Ponti
R. Lipinski
64′
77′
🔁 Z. Seha
↦ M. Essimi
K. Nagera 🔁
↦ T. Arconte
78′
78′
🔁 A. Daho
↦ A. Zossou
M. Tourraine 🔁
↦ N. Galves
83′
M. Baaloudj 🔁
↦ I. Balde
83′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
25 N. Galves D
5 C. Jolibois D
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
15 E. Jean-Lambert D
8 W. Younoussa M
6 J. Mendes M
22 O. Joly M
11 T. Arconte F
18 I. Balde F
Bench (7)
16 L. Margueron
14 M. Tourraine
20 R. Ponti
26 S. Benchamma
29 F. Tait
9 K. Nagera
10 M. Baaloudj

Coach: Didier Santini

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
60 M. Niflore G
2 A. Georgen D
23 V. Sasso D
22 V. Mayela D
21 G. Kondo D
6 P. Diong M
10 M. Essimi M
8 A. Sekongo M
20 E. Bardeli M
77 A. Zossou M
9 T. Robinet F
Bench (7)
1 M. Lavin
24 L. Dziki Loussilaho
27 A. Linguet
18 M. Diop
11 A. Daho
19 A. Kante
57 Z. Seha

Coach: Albert Sánchez Saura

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,63
U ✓
3,17
B
2,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.