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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Annecy
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Bastia
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Annecy Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
39%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
36%
32%
Both score Ø 41%
39%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 13
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Annecy 8. · Bastia 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 28 18 4 6 +24 58
2 Metz 28 16 8 4 +27 56
3 Paris FC 28 17 4 7 +16 55
4 Guingamp 28 15 3 10 +13 48
5 Dunkerque 28 15 3 10 +5 48
6 Laval 28 12 7 9 +9 43
7 Bastia 28 9 13 6 +4 40
8 Annecy 28 11 7 10 -5 40
9 Grenoble 28 10 7 11 +0 37
10 Pau FC 28 9 10 9 -6 37
11 Ajaccio 28 10 4 14 -10 34
12 Amiens 28 10 4 14 -13 34
13 Troyes 28 10 3 15 +0 33
14 Red Star 28 9 6 13 -13 33
15 Rodez 28 8 8 12 +2 32
16 Martigues 28 8 4 16 -21 28
17 Clermont 28 6 9 13 -13 27
18 Caen 28 5 4 19 -19 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Annecy Bastia
Ahmed Kashi 🟨
6′
1–0 Q. Paris
C. Billemaz
12′
Vincent Pajot 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
K. Djoco 🔁
↦ Q. Paris
46′
Clement Billemaz 🟥
48′
Ismaelo Ganiou 🟨
57′
58′
C. Vincent 1–1
63′
🔁 A. Aiki
↦ C. Inao Oulaï
63′
🔁 A. Boutrah
↦ M. Blé
A. Bermont 🔁
↦ A. Larose
74′
80′
🔁 J. Maggiotti
↦ J. Sebas
84′
🟨 Christophe Vincent
J. Tiendrébéogo 🔁
↦ Y. Demoncy
85′
89′
🔁 F. Tomi
↦ L. Cissé
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Annecy

3-4-3
1 F. Escales G
41 T. Delphis D
18 A. Drouhin D
15 S. Bane D
4 P. Ganiou M
17 V. Pajot M
5 A. Kashi M
22 C. Billemaz M
28 A. Larose F
24 Y. Demoncy F
33 Q. Paris F
Bench (7)
10 K. Djoco
26 A. Bermont
20 J. Tiendrébéogo
16 T. Callens
7 N. Lemina
19 R. Neelakandan
35 A. Yahi

Coach: L. Guyot

Bastia

4-2-3-1
30 J. Placide G
24 T. Meynadier D
28 G. Akueson D
6 D. Guidi D
15 F. Bohnert D
66 J. Janneh M
2 C. Inao Oulaï M
22 J. Sebas M
7 C. Vincent M
11 L. Cissé M
33 M. Blé F
Bench (7)
19 A. Aiki
10 A. Boutrah
5 J. Maggiotti
9 F. Tomi
4 A. Roncaglia
23 J. Fabri
14 L. Etoga

Coach: B. Tavenot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,51
U ✓
3,02
B
2,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,57
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.