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Ligue 2
Referee: B Millot
Ajaccio
S T U S T
2–1
Full-time
Amiens
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
43%
54%
Both score Ø 41%
36%
46%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 11. · Amiens 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 28 18 4 6 +24 58
2 Metz 28 16 8 4 +27 56
3 Paris FC 28 17 4 7 +16 55
4 Guingamp 28 15 3 10 +13 48
5 Dunkerque 28 15 3 10 +5 48
6 Laval 28 12 7 9 +9 43
7 Bastia 28 9 13 6 +4 40
8 Annecy 28 11 7 10 -5 40
9 Grenoble 28 10 7 11 +0 37
10 Pau FC 28 9 10 9 -6 37
11 Ajaccio 28 10 4 14 -10 34
12 Amiens 28 10 4 14 -13 34
13 Troyes 28 10 3 15 +0 33
14 Red Star 28 9 6 13 -13 33
15 Rodez 28 8 8 12 +2 32
16 Martigues 28 8 4 16 -21 28
17 Clermont 28 6 9 13 -13 27
18 Caen 28 5 4 19 -19 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajaccio Amiens
10′
🟨 Thomas Monconduit
18′
🟨 Malick Mbaye
1–0 A. Kanté
23′
Arsène Kouassi 🟨
28′
31′
M. Mbaye 1–1
Matthieu Huard 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
B. Touré 🔁
↦ A. Kanté
64′
74′
🔁 I. Fofana
↦ T. Monconduit
76′
🟨 Kylian Kaiboue
2–1 Everson
78′
83′
🔁 Y. Rafii
↦ K. Kaïboué
83′
🔁 R. Lutin
↦ M. Mbaye
84′
🔁 M. Manitu
↦ V. Lobry
87′
🔁 A. Chibozo
↦ L. Mafouta
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ajaccio

5-3-2
16 F. Sollacaro G
20 M. Youssouf D
88 A. Bamba D
5 C. Vidal D
12 M. Huard D
43 A. Kouassi D
4 M. Barreto M
17 Everson M
25 J. Anziani M
27 A. Kanté F
9 B. Santelli F
Bench (7)
11 B. Touré
8 M. Puch-Herrantz
31 J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze
10 V. Jacob
30 G. Quilichini
23 T. Strata
6 T. Mangani

Coach: T. Debès

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
6 A. Aït Boudlal D
13 M. Jaouab D
19 R. Vita D
20 K. Kaïboué M
37 T. Monconduit M
11 M. Mbaye M
8 V. Lobry M
7 A. Léautey M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
45 I. Fofana
51 Y. Rafii
27 R. Lutin
18 M. Manitu
17 A. Chibozo
34 S. Bakayoko
16 A. Sauvage

Coach: O. Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
2,99
B
3,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,54
U2,5
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.