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Ligue 2

Referee: B Dechepy

Bastia

T S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Concarneau

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Concarneau

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 32%

36%

27%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

42%

Both score Ø 38%

39%

36%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

22 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bastia 13. · Concarneau 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	33	17	10	6	+25	61
2	Angers	33	17	7	9	+13	58
3	St Etienne	33	17	6	10	+15	57
4	Paris FC	33	14	10	9	+7	52
5	Rodez	33	13	11	9	+9	50
6	Pau FC	33	13	11	9	+7	50
7	Laval	33	13	10	10	-1	49
8	Caen	33	14	6	13	+2	48
9	Guingamp	33	12	11	10	+6	47
10	Grenoble	33	11	12	10	+3	45
11	Ajaccio	33	12	9	12	-3	45
12	Amiens	33	10	14	9	-3	44
13	Bastia	33	12	8	13	-5	44
14	Bordeaux	33	11	9	13	-6	42
15	Dunkerque	33	11	8	14	-13	41
16	Annecy	33	10	9	14	-2	39
17	Troyes	33	8	11	14	-8	35
18	Concarneau	33	9	8	16	-13	35
19	Quevilly Rouen	33	6	15	12	-3	33
20	Valenciennes	33	2	11	20	-30	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	17	12	3	2	+15	39
2	Ajaccio	17	10	5	2	+13	35
3	Auxerre	16	9	5	2	+16	32
4	Rodez	16	8	6	2	+12	30
5	St Etienne	17	9	3	5	+9	30
6	Paris FC	17	8	4	5	+7	28
7	Caen	16	8	3	5	+8	27
8	Pau FC	17	7	6	4	+7	27
9	Bordeaux	16	7	5	4	+5	26
10	Grenoble	16	6	7	3	+5	25
11	Bastia	16	7	4	5	-2	25
12	Troyes	16	7	2	7	+3	23
13	Amiens	17	5	8	4	+1	23
14	Guingamp	16	5	6	5	+5	21
15	Laval	17	5	5	7	-8	20
16	Annecy	17	4	6	7	-5	18
17	Concarneau	17	4	5	8	-9	17
18	Quevilly Rouen	16	3	6	7	-3	15
19	Dunkerque	17	4	3	10	-13	15
20	Valenciennes	16	1	6	9	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	17	8	5	4	+9	29
2	Laval	16	8	5	3	+7	29
3	St Etienne	16	8	3	5	+6	27
4	Guingamp	17	7	5	5	+1	26
5	Dunkerque	16	7	5	4	+0	26
6	Paris FC	16	6	6	4	+0	24
7	Pau FC	16	6	5	5	+0	23
8	Annecy	16	6	3	7	+3	21
9	Amiens	16	5	6	5	-4	21
10	Caen	17	6	3	8	-6	21
11	Grenoble	17	5	5	7	-2	20
12	Rodez	17	5	5	7	-3	20
13	Angers	16	5	4	7	-2	19
14	Bastia	17	5	4	8	-3	19
15	Quevilly Rouen	17	3	9	5	+0	18
16	Concarneau	16	5	3	8	-4	18
17	Bordeaux	17	4	4	9	-11	16
18	Troyes	17	1	9	7	-11	12
19	Ajaccio	16	2	4	10	-16	10
20	Valenciennes	17	1	5	11	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.